H/t reader squodgy:
“The tide of change has just turned inexorably.
We have started a journey of unknown adventure and undoubted discomfort and unrest.”
And “it” has all been planned a long time ago and foreseen by many seers and by “it” I mean …
Financial/economic collapse, hyperinflation, civil war, revolution, followed by WW3.
In 2014, Christine Lagarde gave a speech on “the magic number 7.” It, along with work by Jonathan Cahn, led us to the Shemitah seven-year cycle and the Jubilee year, which the globalist elites are well aware of.
What we’ve discovered since is that there is even more to the “magic number 7” than just years… it appears to correlate right down to months, weeks and days. Continue reading »
Has the next Lehman Brothers moment arrived? Late Thursday night we learned that the British people had voted to leave the European Union, and this could be the “trigger event” that unleashes great financial panic all over the planet. Of course stocks have already been crashing all over the globe over the past year, but up until now we had not seen the kind of stark fear that the crash of 2008 created following the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The British people are certainly to be congratulated for choosing to leave the tyrannical EU, and if I could have voted I would have voted to “leave” as well. But just as I warned 10 days ago, choosing to leave will “throw the entire continent into a state of economic and financial chaos”. And “Black Friday” was just the beginning – the pain from this event is going to continue to be felt for months to come.
The shocking outcome of the Brexit vote caught financial markets completely off guard, and the carnage that we witnessed on Friday was absolutely staggering… Continue reading »
Sorry but seriously!!
The average forward price-earnings ratio for the Energy sector has been 15.8x.
At the current 97x forward P/E, S&P Energy stocks trade 20 standard deviations rich to history!!
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Jun 16, 2016
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Tags: Banking, Bonds, Collapse, Debt, ECB, Economy, EU, Europe, Fed, Federal Reserve, Gerald Celente, Global News, Gold, Government, Mario Draghi, Military, Obama administration, Politics, Society, Stock Market, U.S., Wall Street, WW III
Merger monday is back with a bang, when moments ago Microsoft announced that it would buy LinkedIn for $196/share, a massive 50% premium to the Friday closing price of $131. The total deal size is $26.2 billion and according to the press release, MSFT will finance the transaction primarily through the issuance of new debt. Indicatively, almost exactly one year ago, LNKD was trading at $300.
Microsoft, which will pay a $725 million termination fee if the deal does not go through, warns that the deal will only become accretive in 2019. This means many synergies are coming for the tech company.
Microsoft also reiterated its intention to complete its existing $40 billion share repurchase authorization by Dec. 31, 2016. Continue reading »
“I can’t tell you how long it’s going to take but I’m anticipating an 80% drop or 70% drop, something in that neighborhood. Tobin’s Q got down to 0.54 in 2009…The reason it didn’t go lower is because we had the biggest fucking bailout ever orchestrated in the history of the banking system…”
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“A $68 trillion ‘Biblical’ collapse is poised to wipe out millions of Americans…”
Submitted by Jeff Berwick, The Dollar Vigilante:
Last year, we were the first financial site to explain how the Shemitah seven-year cycle would have an important and disastrous effect on the markets. The Shemitah ended in the third quarter of last year and just as we predicted, it was the worst quarter in worldwide stock markets since the last Shemitah in 2008.
Since then we have been the leader in explaining further Shemitah trends embedded in the once-every-49-year, Jubilee Year. The Jubilee Year ends on October 2nd of this year, and we expect even worse events to occur as October approaches.
Now, famous investor, Jim Rogers, has just released a new warning saying the same. He is even using biblical references to warn of a financial tsunami that could take place either this year or next. He has just said, “A $68 trillion ‘Biblical’ collapse is poised to wipe out millions of Americans.” Continue reading »
After making over $1 billion in one day last August, and warning that “the markets are overvalued to the tune of 50%,” Mark Spitznagel knows a thing or two about managing tail risk.
The outspoken practitioner of Austrian economic philosophy tells The FT, “Markets don’t have a purpose any more – they just reflect whatever central planners want them to,” confirming his fund-management partner, Nassim Taleb’s perspective that “being protected from fragility in the financial system is a necessity rather than an option.”
“This is the greatest monetary experiment in history. Why wouldn’t it lead to the biggest collapse? My strategy doesn’t require that I’m right about the likelihood of that scenario. Logic dictates to me that it’s inevitable.” Continue reading »
The STOXX Europe 600 is trending below declining and bearishly positioned 26 and 40-week moving averages, and as BofAML’s Stephen Suttmeier warns, ECB quantitative easing has not reversed this bearish trend.
The 2016 set-up is similar to early 2001 and early 2008 with important resistance at 350 and important support at 300. Both 2001 and 2008 saw rebounds into bearishly positioned and falling 26/40-week MAs that formed important lower tops in May.
Over the past year, based on his increasingly more dour media appearances, billionaire Carl Icahn had been getting progressively more bearish. At first, he was mostly pessimistic about junk bonds, saying last May that “what’s even more dangerous than the actual stock market is the high yield market.” As the year progressed his pessimism become more acute and in December he said that the “meltdown in high yield is just beginning.” It culminated in February when he said on CNBC that a “day of reckoning is coming.”
Some skeptics thought that Icahn was simply trying to scare investors into selling so he could load up on risk assets at cheaper prices, however that line of thought was quickly squashed two weeks ago when Icahn announced to the shock of ever Apple fanboy that several years after his “no brainer” investment in AAPL, Icahn had officially liquidated his entire stake.
As it turns out, Icahn’s AAPL liquidation was just the appetizer of how truly bearish the legendary investor has become. Continue reading »
Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos sold about a million shares of Amazon, around 1% of his stake, and netted $671 million, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission spotted by Fortune.
This is the biggest sale Bezos has ever made of the stock. He sold $534 million of shares last August, according to GeekWire.
After the sale, Bezos owns 81.91 million shares (~17% of Amazon). Continue reading »
Eric Hunsader, founder of Nanex, has been at the vanguard of warning about the dangers and the rampant fraud that the rise of high-frequency trading (HFT) algorithims have let loose in today’s financial markets.
While he usually feels like a lone voice in a world happy to deceive itself, he was shocked to receive a $750,000 whistleblower award from the SEC for his efforts. He’s been sadly less shocked to see that since the award was publicly announced, the abuses he reported have only become more extreme and frequent. Continue reading »
And since stocks follow junk bonds….
Junk bonds started to decline in June 2014, and earlier this year threatened to implode. Contagion was spreading from the collapsing energy sector to the brick-and-mortar retail sector, telecom (Sprint), the media (iHeartMedia), and other sectors. It was really ugly out there. Continue reading »
Was it ever in doubt?
Oh just one thing…
Earnings expectations have plunged over 6% since the last time The Dow was here.
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Over the weekend, Bloomberg View’s quasi-economist wrote his latest laughable article, one which supposedly “explained” how “Everyone Worries Too Much About ‘Black Swans‘”, which in addition to being a rambling, meandering stream of consciousness that as is regularly the case with this particular author, made little sense, sparked a Twitter feud with the Nassim Taleb, the person who made the concept of a Black Swan into a household name.
We were therefore very amused to note that none other than former FX trader and fund manager, Richard Breslow who also writes for Bloomberg, seemingly had an epileptic fit upon reading the abovementioned drivel and wrote his own scathing reaction from the perspective of an actual trader, a rection which not only threw up on every argument of the so-called economist’s logic, but on everything else that now is passed off simply as, well, “the new normal.”
Here is Richard Breslow: Continue reading »
I keep hearing that the past 6 or 7 years in equities is just part of an even longer term secular bull market. And it strikes me very curious that investors continue to pay these fee based money managers and chief market strategists who continue to sell this theory. Let me show you a chart and then provide a very brief parable for you to consider.
Donald Trump continued to streamroll over all conventional narratives when during a massive 96-minute interview with the Washington Post on Thursday which was released today, in which he talked candidly about his aggressive style of campaigning and offered new details about what he would do as president, he said that economic conditions are so perilous that the country is headed for a “very massive recession” and that “it’s a terrible time right now” to invest in the stock market, which, the traditionally cheerful WaPo said embraces “a distinctly gloomy view of the economy that counters mainstream economic forecasts.”
Unfortunately, his “gloomy view” is supported by such events as the record surge in gun violence and deadly shootings in Chicago, where the locals also do not ascribe to the WaPo’s rosy take on events, and instead blame the economy and the lack of jobs for the ongoing social collapse in the windy city. Continue reading »