Most of you will be quite familiar with Peter Schiff. Fewer of you will know much about his father, Irwin Schiff, who was posthumously referred to as the “grandfather of the contemporary tax protest movement” in Forbes.
Irwin was treated very poorly by his own country, particularly toward the end of his life when, despite being legally blind and dying of cancer, he was not permitted to die in peace amongst family members.
Ali and Frazier, Laurel and Hardy, Mayweather and Pacquiao, Liesman and Santelli, and now Schiff and Maloney. Peter and Mike join clash of the titan-like to discuss their investment strategies and expose the charts the government doesn’t want you to seeas “people like Bernanke are taken seriously still and the people that did predict [the crisis] are dismissed as lunatics half the time.” The wide-reaching conversation covers everything from gold and stocks to The Fed and The Dollar – Bernanke “took the coward’s way out because all he did was exacerbate the problems to postpone the day of reckoning.” The air is coming out of the bubble, they warn, “Bernanke and Greenspan have absolutely destroyed America. People don’t realize what is coming…”
John Whitefoot, an Analyst with Lombardi, shares his 2015 silver forecast. Unlike many investors, Whitefoot expects silver prices to rally, catching markets by surprise. He points to three important factors:
The S&P 500 is overvalued by 65%, indicating the stock market is in a bubble that will pop soon.
Silver has industrial demand that allows it to thrive during periods of economic growth.
Supply problems paired with huge demand will drive prices higher.
Perhaps the only point our Chairman Peter Schiff would disagree with is that the US economy is going to continue to improve in the coming years. Nevertheless, the case for silver prices rising significantly this year and into the future remains. Many of Whitefoot’s arguments are also explained in detail in our free special report – The Powerful Case for Silver. Download it here.
The Federal Reserve has a two-day meeting this week. CNBC World asked Peter Schiff what he expects the results of the meeting will be. Peter argued that the Fed will continue to bluff about raising interest rates. He believes a fourth round of quantitative easing is more likely in the next year.
Follow along with this transcript:
Peter: The bigger problem for the US market is the softening US data that came out today. And now the weakening US dollar, which I think is about to get a lot weaker as people get their arms around the real predicament that the US economy is in. Continue reading »
Ahead of tomorrow’s decision by the FOMC, Peter Schiff ventured on to CNBC to discuss the economy, the fed, and gold… among other things. Schiff rightly fears that while the Fed may well stop QE3 tomorrow, QE4 will not be too long behind it as he notes, rather eloquently, that “an economy that lives by QE, will die by QE” as the Fed’s total lack of willingness to allow stocks to fall (see Bullard 2 weeks ago) or a ‘cleansing’ recession leaves the nation’s economy in far worse shape than it was before the Fed’s intervention. Schiff calmly replies to the anchor’s questions (as she proclaims “I am not on the side of the Fed but…”), gently explains his view on gold when challenged about his ‘wrongness’, but when a guest starts hounding him for being dangerous to CNBC viewers wealth… Schiff (rightly) loses it – must watch!
A well reasoned discussion of the Fed’s manipulation of markets and mal-investment hangovers is well worth the price of admission… but at around 6:35 when Scott Nations unleashes his tirade on Schiff, the fireworks start to fly… and Schiff (while being shouted over) reminds guests, anchors, and viewers alike “Go to YouTube, I am wrong a lot less often than most people on this program… and all you do is hassle me” that he was among the very few appearing on CNBC before the crash who foresaw it and the cataclysmic shift that has occurred (no matter what the perception of short-term memory traders)…“Think of all the bulls you paraded out here when Nasdaq was 5,000”
Absolute must watch…
We can’t help but feel the timing of this tirade against Schiff is spookily prophetic and will be in its own YouTube class in a few years…
As increasingly more conspiracy ‘theories’ become conspiracy ‘facts’, The History Channel discusses “The Gold Conspiracy” in this brief documentary.
The video is not working anymore. Here is a replacement:
As The History Channel introduces:
Gold. It is one of the most precious metals in the world. A glittering commodity so rare that people will go to great lengths to obtain it. But who sets the price? And what are the secret methods to control its value? Uncover the clandestine world surrounding the highly prized precious metal. How much gold does the United States really have–and where is it locked away? Is the American government overstating the amount of gold in its reserves to create the mystique of financial superiority?
The Jon Stewart sheeple are still getting their ‘Daily” news from a comedian that makes millions ($80,000,000.00) net worth) from distorting the truth. Peter Schiff exposes the deceptive practices of Jon Stewart. Stewart’s ill gotten gains, come directly from viewers supporting his show that may not be aware of how his show is manipulated for ratings only, at the expense of the truth.
Dedicated readers of The Wall Street Journal have recently been offered many dire warnings about a clear and present danger that is stalking the global economy. They are not referring to a possible looming stock or real estate bubble (which you can find more on in my latest newsletter). Nor are they talking about other usual suspects such as global warming, peak oil, the Arab Spring, sovereign defaults, the breakup of the euro, Miley Cyrus, a nuclear Iran, or Obamacare. Instead they are warning about the horror that could result from falling prices, otherwise known as deflation. Get the kids into the basement Mom… they just marked down Cheerios! Continue reading »
It is rare that investors are given a road map. It is rarer still that the vast majority of those who get it are unable to understand the clear signs and directions it contains. When this happens the few who can actually read the map find themselves in an enviable position. Such is currently the case with gold and gold-related investments.
The common wisdom on Wall Street is that gold has seen the moment of its greatness flicker. This confidence has been fueled by three beliefs: A) the Fed will soon begin trimming its monthly purchases of Treasury and Mortgage Backed Securities (commonly called the “taper”), B) the growing strength of the U.S. economy is creating investment opportunities that will cause people to dump defensive assets like gold, and C) the renewed confidence in the U.S. economy will shore up the dollar and severely diminish gold’s allure as a safe haven. All three of these assumptions are false. (Our new edition of the Global Investor Newsletter explores how the attraction never dimmed in India).
Now that Janet Yellen has been named to lead the Federal Reserve the global financial markets should factor out any possibility that the Fed will diminish their Quantitative easing program anytime during her tenure. In fact, financial forecasts should assume that not only is a taper off the table, but that the QE program is now more likely to be perpetuated and expanded.
Unlike her predecessors, Janet Yellen has never had a youthful dalliance with hawkish monetary ideas. Before taking charge of the Fed both Alan Greenspan, and to a lesser extent Ben Bernanke, had advocated for the benefits of a strong currency and low inflation and had warned of the dangers of overly accommodative policy and unnecessary stimulus. (Both largely abandoned these ideals once they took the reins of power, but their urge to stimulate may have been restrained by a vestigial bias against the excesses of Keynesianism). Janet Yellen, who has been on the liberal/dovish end of the monetary spectrum for her entire professional career, has no such baggage. As a result, we can expect her to never waver in her belief that stimulus is the answer to every economic question. Continue reading »
When Ben Bernanke announced that the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee was going to continue its monetary expansion program it calls Quantitative Easing, almost everyone in the financial media was taken by complete surprise. According to the mainstream media, the non-taper “surprised almost everyone out there.” Well it did not surprise me, nor anyone who had been paying attention to what I had been saying. As I said repeatedly over the past several months, the Fed knows that the appearance of economic health would evaporate if its stimulus were withdrawn, or even diminished. The Fed understands, as the market seems not to, that the current “recovery” could not survive without the continuation of massive monetary stimulus. In fact, the Fed’s next big move will likely be to increase, rather than taper, its monthly QE dosage! One reporter on this video said that its time for the Fed to take the training wheels off the economy. As I have been saying for years, QE is not the training wheels, its the only wheels the economy has. Take it away and the economy stalls. However, as the economy is now headed toward a cliff, taking the wheels off is much better than leaving them on and going over that cliff.
The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles:
Two years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost by half, putting the gold bugs in flight. The most recent advisory from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.
The rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery. The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold’s allure.
Although the American economy has reduced its rapid rate of recovery, it is still on a firm expansionary course. The fear that dominated two years ago has largely vanished, replaced by a recovery that has turned the gold speculators’ dreams into a nightmare.
This analysis provides a good representation of the current conventional wisdom. The only twist here is that the article from which this summary is derived appeared in the August 29, 1976 edition of The New York Times. At that time gold was preparing to embark on an historic rally that would push it up more than 700% a little over three years later. Is it possible that the history is about to repeat itself?
Perfectly summarizing the cognitive dissonance of the mainstream media (and their drone-like viewers), this duel of the Soft-Money-Honey Maria B and Hard-Money Golden Boy Peter Schiff was a tragic farce. Maria comes out swinging, “whether this is a manufactured market or not, you’ve got no alternative but stocks – where’s my yield?” Schiff counters, “there are alternatives” – summarily scoffed at (a-la his-housing appearances in 2006/7) by Mariaremember…
– “we have a completely phoney economy driven 100% by cheap money; the minute you take it away, the whole thing implodes.” And while the ‘fight’ moves on, we are left thinking they are in two different rings since whatever point is made by Schiff is summarily ignored for the status quo.
“QE will be here until we have a USD crisis and the Fed can’t get away with it anymore,” Schiff reminds, adding, “There is no exit strategy… the Fed is bluffing; exit is impossible.”
The glancing blows continue deep into the late rounds. “The reality is we are living in a bubble; and all bubbles burst,” (reminding us of Sam Zell’s comments to the very same CNBC anchor a few weeks back), “it’s unfortunate we didn’t learn that lesson in 2008 but we’re about to learn a much bigger lesson.” Disingenuous laughter follows at Schiff’s suggestion at holding Gold with Maria’s anchoring bias loud-and-proud – “I’m looking for alternatives to stocks, and I can’t find any.”
Schiff notes, “the next crisis will be the USD,” to which Maria incomprehensibly asks “what currency am I going to own if not the USD?” And this is where the fireworks begin as Schiff dares to suggest “you could just have real money Maria” (just as Marc Faber warned her “you don’t own gold, you are in great danger” a few months back).
Yesterday, on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Peter Schiff explained how the Fed’s stimulus has only delayed the real recession that will ultimately trigger a dollar collapse, and why Japan is stewing in the same brew of bad money.
“The bottom will drop out of the dollar. The US dollar is going to lose a lot of value. Not only against goods, but against other fiat currencies. The dollar is going to go down, that’s going to push prices up higher in the United States, consumer prices. Eventually the Fed is going to have to turn off the presses in order to save the dollar and that’s when the real fun begins, because that’s when this whole bubble economy implodes…”
had the opportunity this afternoon to connect with Peter Schiff, CEO and Chief Global Strategist ofEuro Pacific Capital. It was a fascinating conversation, which took place while gold was absolutely collapsing.During the interview, Peter explained that today’s sell-off, triggered by a Goldman Sachs sell recommendation was based on the “false idea” of European Central Bank gold sales hitting the market. Instead he explained, gold is preparing its move “from weak hands to strong hands”, before heading to new all-time highs.
When asked his thoughts on the complete panic in the market this afternoon, Peter commented that, ”Gold had [previously] sold-off on false anticipation of [economic] recovery bringing an early end to QE. But whenGoldman Sachs came out with the sell recommendation…sentiment was already negative…so I think there’s a lot of stops being hit [right now]…[However], the lower prices will create an opportunity for buyers…wanting toaccumulate large positions without moving the market. The only way to do that, is to have a lot of selling...Goldman Sachs certainly could have done a lot of favors for people interested in accumulatinggold, because now you’ve got the selling that makes [it] possible.”
In just under 30 minutes, Peter Schiff and Doug Casey muse on many facets of the crumbling edifice of the status quo that is our current world.From Gold’s relatively imminent rise to $5,000 and beyond, to investor ignorance of reality, Casey & Schiff swing from discussions of the US as political entity going forward to ‘escape from America’ plans for personal and wealth assets, and the realization that the biggest casualty (of US indebtedness), aside from individual liberty, is the value of the dollar – as taxing the middle class is unpopular with both parties – leaving only one route for the government – the inflation tax. Owning gold, silver, and foreign assets is preferred and while the rest of the world is also printing, the US is likely to beat them all.
People “are clueless with respect to the true state of the global economy,” with regard to inflation, fiat currencies, and specifically what will happen to the dollar. The conversation is wide-ranging and absolutely must-see as they remind market-watchers that “the whole thing is artificial,” as you can’t just keep printing money and monetizing debt without the dollar imploding with monetary policy descending (along with its trillion dollar coin) into ‘Three Stooges’ comedy.
The conversation weaves to some endgame discussions which bring Peter to discuss his father, who he sees as a political prisoner, and his views on the future…
“the biggest change that is coming to the global economy is a realignment of global living standards.”
Back in the mid-1920s, the head of the German Central Bank, Herr Hjalmar Schacht, went to New York to see Germany’s gold. However the NY Fed officials were unable to find the palette of Germany’s gold bullion. The Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Benjamin Strong was mortified, but to put him at ease Herr Schacht turned to him and said ‘Never mind, I believe you when you when you say the gold is there. Even if it weren’t you are good for its replacement.’ (H/T The Real Asset Company)
But that was then and this is now. In the eyes of the Germans – and who can blame them? – America has lost its mojo to such a degree that it can no longer be trusted honour its debts, even in the unlikely event that it were financially capable of doing so. Which is why, following in the footsteps of Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez (who may be an idiot but is definitely no fool), Germany is repatriatriating its gold from the US federal reserve. It will now be stored in Frankfurt.
This is an important story. One of the most spectacular con tricks of the last twelve months, pulled off by our political class with the connivance of much of the media, is that we’ve escaped the global economic armageddon which looked till quite recently as if it was going to engulf us. The Euro didn’t collapse; Europe isn’t in flames; QE hasn’t led to Weimar-style hyperinflation; the fiscal cliff has been dodged; Britain hasn’t yet lost its triple A credit rating; the bond markets haven’t gone postal…
Well it may look calm on the surface, but this latest move by the Bundesbank gives us a pretty good indication that beneath the surface that serene-seeming swan is paddling for dear life.
From the government-induced structural unemployment malaise to the implosion of our entire ‘artificial economy’, Peter Schiff and Rick Santelli explore the dark side of monetary policy in this brief clip. On the Fed’s new policy and potential exit strategy, Schiff notes that “the Fed is constructing goalposts so it never actually hits them; the Fed is never going to tighten.” While Santelli tends to agree with Schiff on the eventual collapse of the USD under this never-ending Fed easing scenario, he notes that getting a fix on that USD weakness is hard given everyone is racing to debase. Schiff notes, oil prices, gold prices, food inflation, and real assets all send the signal that Bernanke chooses to ignore and on the topic of ‘monetization’ which Bernanke seemed so ‘put off’ by during the press conference last week, Sch-antelli both seemingly (obviously) conclude that the mere mention of an exit at some point in the future by the great and powerful Oz does not preclude the fact that 90% of current Treasury issuance ends up on the Fed’s books… leaving the fact that selling any of this “would make 2008 look like a Sunday picnic.”
Perhaps no better example of the two camps of perspectives on the market’s performance and the Fed’s expectations was on display this afternoon on CNBC. In the ‘we need some destructive asset clearing in order to get back to any sort of growth trajectory and the Fed is feeding an inflationary monster with its band-aid upon band-aid money-printing’ camp is Peter Schiff; while the other side of the investing octagon is Ron Insana who sees a ‘100% rise in stocks as evidence of something and that the Fed must do something, anything in order that we avoid the reality under the surface of a deleveraging deflationary world economy’. We are not sure of the winner as the shouting became too much to bear – but nevertheless the vociferous nature of the two combatants (each proclaiming their #winning-ness) shows the bifurcated world in which we live.
The media is now fixated on an apparently new feature dominating the economic landscape: a “fiscal cliff” from which the United States will fall in January 2013. They see the danger arising from the simultaneous implementation of the $2 trillion in automatic spending cuts (spread over 10 years) agreed to in last year’s debt ceiling vote and the expiration of the Bush era tax cuts. The economists to whom most reporters listen warn that the combined impact of reduced government spending and higher taxes will slow the “recovery” and perhaps send the economy back into recession. While there is indeed much to worry about in our economy, this particular cliff is not high on the list. Continue reading »