- Nasdaq market paralyzed by three-hour shutdown (Reuters, Aug 22, 2013):
Trading in thousands of U.S. stocks ground to a halt for much of Thursday after an unexplained technological problem shut down trading in Nasdaq securities, the latest prominent disruption in U.S. markets.
Nasdaq resumed trading at around 3:25 p.m. EDT (1925 GMT), after a roughly 3-hour, 11-minute shutdown of trading in Apple, Google, Microsoft and more than 3,000 other U.S. companies. The shutdown was the longest in recent memory.
“Any brokerage firm gets paid by executing orders,” said Sal Arnuk, co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. “So yes, we are frustrated, and this hurts us, it hurts the market and it hurts public confidence.”
All traffic through Nasdaq stopped abruptly at 12:14:03 p.m. (1614 GMT). Trading in a single stock resumed at 3 p.m., and other stocks soon followed.
- Apple’s Flash Dump In The Last Second Of Trading Caught On Tape (ZeroHedge, Jan 25, 2013):
Sure, the retail “investors” are coming back into the “markets”… They are coming back in shifts. And just so they know what to expect, here is what happened to Apple stock in the last second of regular trading today, courtesy of Nanex. Unlike traditional flash crashes where the trade is an HFT error, or a few shares traded through the entire bid or offer stack, in this case it looks like a very premeditated unloading of some 800K shares (some $350 million worth) of AAPL in the last second, with the full knowledge it was shake the market. Why anyone would want (or wait until the very last second) to do that, while covering the offsetting ES short in the pair trade, to ramp the market into the close, is anyone’s guess.
- Apple Is No Longer The World’s Most Expensive Company (ZeroHedge, Jan 25, 2013):
Irony of all ironies; on the 1-year anniversary of AAPL replacing XOM as the world’s most-expensive market capitalized company, the incessant fall of the formerly invincible has dragged it back below XOM once again. This one-year of glory is disappointing as when MSFT managed to top XOM in 1998, it held on to the top-spot for almost 3 years before relinquishing it back to the company that runs the world’s most valuable limited resource.One-year on – and AAPL is now less than XOM once again…
- Goldman Sachs And The Big Hedge Funds Are Pushing Leverage To Ridiculous Extremes (Economic Collapse, Jan 14, 2013):
As stocks have risen in recent years, the big hedge funds and the “too big to fail” banks have used borrowed money to make absolutely enormous profits. But when you use debt to potentially multiply your profits, you also create the possibility that your losses will be multiplied if the markets turn against you. When the next stock market crash happens, and the gigantic pyramid of risk, debt and leverage on Wall Street comes tumbling down, will highly leveraged banks such as Goldman Sachs ask the federal government to bail them out? The use of leverage is one of the greatest threats to our financial system, and yet most Americans do not even really understand what it is. The following is a basic definition of leverage from Investopedia: “The use of various financial instruments or borrowed capital, such as margin, to increase the potential return of an investment.” Leverage allows firms to make much larger bets in the financial markets than they otherwise would be able to, and at this point Goldman Sachs and the big hedge funds are pushing leverage to ridiculous extremes. When the financial markets go up and they win on those bets, they can win very big. For example, revenues at Goldman Sachs increased by about 30 percent in 2012 and Goldman stock has soared by more than 40 percent over the past 12 months. Those are eye-popping numbers. But leverage is a double-edged sword. When the markets turn, Goldman Sachs and many of these large hedge funds could be facing astronomical losses.
Sadly, it appears that Wall Street did not learn any lessons from the financial crisis of 2008. Hedge funds have ramped up leverage to levels not seen since before the last stock market crash. The following comes from a recent Bloomberg article entitled “Hedge-Fund Leverage Rises to Most Since 2004 in New Year“… Continue reading »
- AAPL Trades Under $500 For First Time In 11 Months (ZeroHedge, Jan 14, 2013):
While the furious defense of $500 the second AAPL crossed under the psychological barrier – the first time it did so in regular trading since February 15, 2012 – was promptly launched as otherwise the hedge fund community, which as we reported two weeks ago, and as Bloomberg caught on today, is more levered and long than at any moment in the past 9 years and is mostly invested in AAPL, we expect this intervention to eventually succumb to the inevitable French military campaign conclusion, as not even every HFT algo programmed to lift every offer under $500 can delay the inevitable arrival of a very sad cashflow reality. As for the Bank of Israel which is now about 5% underwater on its AAPL cost basis: don’t worry – Ben will bail you out too. Continue reading »
- New “Generational Low” For AAPL (ZeroHedge, Dec 14, 2012):
Unless you bought Apple stock before Valentine’s Day this year, you are now underwater. In what must be the best evidence of how quickly a liquidity-fueled over-owned bucket of over-optimistic extrapolation can see sentiment swing violently against it, AAPL just plunged back (on heavy volume) through its previous “generational low” from 11/16/12. At under $505.75 ($505.58), AAPL is at its lowest level since mid-February and is almost 30% off its highs on 9/21/12 as it appears the much poo-poo’d Death Cross may just have been on to something. WWJTD? and do not forget to ask WWDKD?
The two major selling days when the professionals decided now was the time… middle pane – huge average trade size…
- AAPL Suffers Biggest Market Cap Loss Ever (ZeroHedge, Dec 4, 2012):
It seems like it was only yesterday when we were praising the miraculous 4 sigma move in AAPL stock, when it soared by nearly $40 in one trading session. It wasn’t: it was November 19. Which is why it probably shouldn’t be surprising that two short weeks later AAPL stock has just seen its biggest dollar fall in absolute terms in history, down $37 dollars or nearly 7%, its biggest one-day percentage drop since September 2008. Why? Nobody really knows, but when the world’s biggest company by market cap trades increasingly like a penny stock, does anyone really care?
In absolute terms, AAPL has lost nearly $35 billion in market cap in several hours today: more than the market cap of BlackRock, Morgan Stanley or Wal-Green, with no real material news except for the occasional weak order hearsay (which one didn’t really need considering the US and global consumer is totally tapped out), and various other rumors. One thing is certain: the 240+ hedge funds who owned the stock as of September 30, and which did their best to paint the tape for November, are now at a complete loss what to do to delay what was certainly going to be a redemption avalanche for the second month in a row.
Histogram of $ moves in AAPL stock in the past two years: Continue reading »
- All US Equity Markets Closed Monday (And Maybe Tuesday) Due To Sandy (ZeroHedge, oct 29, 2012):
Late Updates – after a day of consultation and realization that if the algos were left alone to play then things could go a little pear-shaped – NYSE and NASDAQ will now be totally closed tomorrow:
- *U.S. EQUITY MARKETS TO CLOSE ON OCT. 29 FOR STORM, SEC SAYS
- *NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE TO CLOSE MARKETS FOR STORM
- *NASDAQ OMX MARKETS CLOSED TOMORROW ON HURRICANE SANDY :NDAQ US
- *CBOE TO CLOSE EXCHANGES OCT. 29 BECAUSE OF HURRICANE SANDY
“In consultation with other exchanges and market participants, NYSE Euronext will close its markets on Monday, Oct. 29, 2012 and pending confirmation on Tuesday, Oct. 30, 2012’’
“We support the consensus of the markets and the regulatory community that the dangerous conditions developing as a result of Hurricane Sandy will make it extremely difficult to ensure the safety of our people and communities, and safety must be our first priority’’
“We will work with the industry to determine the next steps in restoring trading as soon as the situation permits’’
Add to this, SIFMA’s recommendation that bond markets close at midday – which is all a little moot given MTA’s closure and tomorrow looks like being a busy day for the European desks…
- Hurricane to close Wall St on Monday, possibly Tuesday (Reuters, Oct 29, 2012):
U.S. stock and options markets will be closed on Monday and possibly Tuesday, the exchange operator said, going back on a plan that would have kept electronic trading going on Monday.
As Hurricane Sandy bears down on the New York area, regulators, exchanges and brokers grew increasingly worried about the integrity of markets and the safety of employees.
It will be the first time the market has closed for a weather-related event since Hurricane Gloria on September 27, 1985.
- Wall Street shuts for storm; trading may not resume until Wednesday (Los Angeles Times, Oct 28, 2012):
As Hurricane Sandy barrels down on the East Coast, Wall Street is shutting down.
This would be the first time trading has been halted in all U.S. stocks since a four-day stretch after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
- AAPL Reality Sinks In Sub-$600 As Option-Overlays Lifted (ZeroHedge, Oct 26, 2012):
In english this looks like this:
- Managers were grossly over-weight (in their books) AAPL
- Wanted to reduce weight as AAPL’s weight in index reached peak levels and fundamental cracks started to show
- Last few weeks have seen VWAP sell orders dominating
- BUT – the algos can only clear so much and given the huge breadth of holdings…
- Managers bought Option overlays with both hands and feet (as we noted yesterday) to protect through earnings
- And today – with options open, they are unwinding the protection (implied vol dropping even as stock price plunges) and reducing net long exposure in size (see volume)…
Bottom line – long-only managers will retain exposure (as index trackers) but clearly need to unwind some weight and anyone telling you this is all short-sellers is incorrect – the simple facts of VWAP fades and implied vol dropping suggests its long-exits as the cult of AAPL maybe coming to an end…
- Apple Disappoints (ZeroHedge, Oct 25, 2012):
And so the behemoth misses… again:
- APPLE 4Q EPS $8.67, EST. $8.75 – miss
- APPLE 4Q SALES $36.0B – slight beat
- APPLE SOLD 14.0 MILLION IPADS DURING QTR, UNIT EST. 15.3M
But the uglyness is in the forecast. And this time it is not a low-ball:
- APPLE SEES 1Q EEPS $11.75, , EST. $15.49
- APPLE SEES 1Q REV. ABOUT $52B, EST. $55.07B
Stock halted so keep an eye on the QQQ as a proxy – QQQs imply AAPL $590 here (200DMA is $587)… AAPL will resume trading at 4:50ET
- 230 Hedge Funds Suddenly Cried Out In Terror And Were Suddenly Silenced (ZeroHedge, Oct 25, 2012):
A week after the second most populous hedge fund hotel, Google, blew up, it is now time for good ole’ Hotel Caaplefornia itself. The HF holders table below is presented without comment (as we have said all there is to say many times). Remember: orderly, cool, calm, collected single file procession through the tight exit: and nobody panic!
- Apple Slide Halts Yet Another Rumor-Driven Risk Rally (ZeroHedge, Oct 11, 2012):
Yesterday even as the broader market slid materially, much to the dismay of permabulls everywhere, taking out post QE3 lows, one stock that obstinately refused to join the trend was Apple, which as we have noted before is the vanguard of the index known as NASDAAPL, and whichever way the NASDAAPL goes, so go America’s hedge funds, all of which have decided to piggyback on the stock in hope of catching up to the market performance and avoid being redeemed to death. Today, we get a mirror image of yesterday, when after opening at its highs, AAPL has since tumbled 2.5% from its highs, following news that an Apples court has allowed sales of Samsung Galaxy to continue. Finally, the broader market, which ramped early on hope that the intolerable Basel III requirements would be delayed by 1 year (they will be eventually as they demand that banks sell trillions in assets: something they can’t do), is about to slide not only with AAPL as the catalyst but following news from Dow Jones that the “EU Trialogue Didn’t Discuss Basel III Delay Thursday.” In other words, we ramped on a completely bogus rumor originating in Europe once again. What else is new?AAPL loses $10 billion in market cap in a few hours:
- The Fruit Shall Lead The Way (ZeroHedge, Oct 11, 2012):
As Monty Python might have said, apart from AAPL; what has the market done for you today? S&P 500 cash managed (somehow) to cling to a green close while the Dow and Nasdaq ended red. Critically – markets went only one way all day – from upper left to lower right as we go out at the lows of the day – back again at the Draghi cliff edge and just below pre-QE levels. AAPL was a disaster – on heavy volume – as it pushed back down towards it 100DMA (over 3% from its opening highs today!) ending at its lowest in two months with its biggest slide in 5 months (last 14 days). Risk-assets in general tracked closely as while AAPL slide from the open, equity indices manage to hold opening gap gains until Europe closed and then it went pear-shaped. The USD slid all day but didn’t ‘help’ stocks as JPY weakened more (carry offsetting). Treasury yields plunged – 30Y now down 12bps on the week. Commodities all gained on the day – led by Oil (with gold/silver lagging). Meanwhile VIX ignored the debacle, gapping lower at the open and holding down 0.7vols at 15.6% as HYG handily outperformed on low volume.
- Apple Has Satanic Close To Quarter (ZeroHedge, Sep 28, 2012):
Ending the day at the lows, AAPL’s stock price traded with a truly demonic $666.66 after-hours. The reason for the last few days’ weakness? Who knows when a bubble bursts but between its analog to MSFT’s meteoric rise, the stocks’ weight in the NASDAQ, ‘disappointing’ first-week sales, Cook’s Maps FUBAR, supply-chain disruptions, or the market having to suddenly price in the arrival of the new Obama-phone, volumes have been picking up.The Bat-Phone…
The Apple iPhone… and its high-volume selling pressure and $666.66 after-hours close…
AAPL +65% YTD, +14% in Q3, +0.23% in September
The Cleveland Obama-Phone…
- Marc Faber: “Fed Will Destroy The World” (ZeroHedge, Sep 14, 2012):
“Everything will collapse” is the consequence Gloom, Boom, & Doom’s Marc Faber sees from the Fed’s latest ‘stimulus’ (and the fallacy and misconception of how money-printing can help employment). In a wondrously clarifying interview on Bloomberg TV this morning, Faber explained why he was ‘happy’, since “the asset values of his holdings will go up” but as a responsible citizen he is worried because “the monetary policies of the US will destroy the world.“ It truly is class warfare under a veil of ‘its good for you’ as he notes: “the fallacy of monetary policy in the U.S. is to believe this money will go to the man on the street. It won’t. It goes to the Mayfair economy of the well-to-do people and boosts asset prices of Warhols.” Congratulations, Mr. Bernanke.
Must-watch (or read the transcript) – it is truly remarkable.
Faber on more Federal Reserve stimulus:
“It is difficult to tell what will happen. I happen to believe that eventually we will have a systemic crisis and everything will collapse. But the question is really between here and then. Will everything collapse with Dow Jones 20,000 or 50,000 or 10 million? Mr. Bernanke is a money printer and, believe me, if Mr. Romney wins the election the next Fed chairman will also be a money printer. And so it will go on. The Europeans will print money. The Chinese will print money. Everybody will print money and the purchasing power of paper money will go down. And I don’t like bonds. I don’t particularly like equities, but I think equities are a better space to be in than bonds.” Continue reading »
Tags: Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, Bonds, Debt, Economy, EU, Europe, Fed, Federal Reserve, Gold, Government, Great Depression, Kazakhstan, Marc Faber, Nasdaq, Obama administration, Politics, Portugal, Quantitative Easing, Real Estate, Society, Spain, U.S.
- With AAPL 19.8% Of The NASDAQ, Is Another Rebalancing Imminent? (ZeroHedge, Aug 24, 2012):
Just over 16 months ago, the NASDAQ did an unusual thing. As the WSJ noted at the time, AAPL, which had reached a 20% weighting in the NASDAQ-100, was rebalanced to 12.3%. This weighting was apparently too much for the index-provider who feared “the tech company’s big weighting means that a change in fortune for the maker of iPhones, iPods and iPads has a huge impact on one of the most heavily traded indexes in the market.”Since 04/05/11, when that rebalance occurred, AAPL’s market cap has doubled, while the NASDAQ-100 is up just under 20% ($627bn versus $3.15tn). With the current weighting of AAPL in the NASDAQ-100 at 19.8%, we wonder what is next – as the WSJ noted at the time, any “rebalancing is likely to kick off waves of trading… as money managers scramble to adjust holdings to reflect the new composition of the index.” Interestingly, AAPL has reached 20% of the index twice this year already – which just happened to coincide with significant selling pressure on the stock – will third time be the charm? Continue reading »
- UBS May Have Facebook Trading Loss of $350 Million (Yahoo Finance/CNBC, June 8, 2012):
UBS is sitting on losses that could be as high as $350 million stemming from its investment in the Facebook initial public offering, and is preparing legal action against Nasdaq as a result, people familiar with the matter told CNBC.
That loss is some ten-times more than the $30 million number that is currently being speculated in the market by others.
The issue has to do with the failure to get confirmations and executions from the Facebook trade.
- Exclusive: Nasdaq hackers spied on company boards (Reuters, Oct. 20, 2011):
Hackers who infiltrated the Nasdaq’s computer systems last year installed malicious software that allowed them to spy on the directors of publicly held companies, according to two people familiar with an investigation into the matter.
The new details showed the cyber attack was more serious than previously thought, as Nasdaq OMX Group had said in February that there was no evidence the hackers accessed customer information.
It was not known what information the hackers might have stolen. The investigation into the attack, involving the FBI and National Security Agency, is ongoing.
“God knows exactly what they have done. The long term impact of such attack is still unknown,” said Tom Kellermann, a well-known cyber security expert with years of experience protecting central banks and other high-profile financial institutions from attack.
Rogers Interview on Commodities, Global Stocks, Feb. 28
“Saudi Arabia has been lying about the reserves for decades.
Saudi Arabia the last two times said they are going to increase production and they couldn’t increase production. Don’t fall for that.
The reason oil is going up is the world is running out of known reserves of oil.”
Feb. 28 (Bloomberg) — Jim Rogers, chairman of Rogers Holdings, talks about his investment strategy for global stocks and commodities. Gold advanced, approaching a record, as tensions in the Middle East boosted oil prices, increasing demand for precious metals as a protector of wealth and hedge against inflation. Rogers also discusses his strategy for the U.S. dollar. He speaks in Hong Kong with Rishaad Salamat on Bloomberg Television’s “On the Move Asia.”