Jul 05

GREXIT

The “Nightmare Of The Euro-Architects” Is Coming True: JPM Now Sees Grexit, Eurogroup “Split In Coming Days” (ZeroHedge, July 5, 2015):

Perhaps the best summary – or epitaph, some would say – of the shocking events that took place in Greece this afternoon, and the resultant falling dominoes that are about to be unleashed, was given by Slovakia’s finance minister Peter Kazimir, who summarized events as follows:

He followed it up with a Dylan Thomas quote:

We assume the next lines goes as follows:

“Rage, rage against the dying of the “irreversible” currency” Continue reading »

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Jun 16

Tsipras-Hope

“Horrified” Syriza Hardliners Back “Immediate” Greek Bank Nationalization, Euro Exit (ZeroHedge, June 16, 2015):

Caught between a recalcitrant Left Platform and exasperated creditors, Greek PM Alexis Tsipras must decide how he wants history to remember his tenure as Prime Minister. Either he will be the leader who allowed Greece to crash out of the euro on its way to a redomination-driven economic collapse, or he will go down as the fiery advocate for change who caved under pressure and allowed the troika to stamp out democracy in the place where it was born. 

 

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May 20

Asked whether he would repeat an assurance he gave in late 2012 that Greece wouldn’t default, Wolfgang Schäuble told The Wall Street Journal and French daily Les Echos that “I would have to think very hard before repeating this in the current situation.” To which Moody’s had just one thing to add: there is a high likelihood of an imposition of capital controls and a deposit freeze.”


greek atm line

The Gloves Come Off: Moody’s Warns Of Greek “Deposit Freeze” As Schauble “Won’t Rule Out Default” (ZeroHedge, May 20, 2015):

Ever since Syriza took over the Greek government and has refused, at least until now, to concede to every Troika demand of perpetuating a status quo which it was elected with a mandate to overturn, Europe has done everything in its power to make not only Syriza’s life increasingly difficult and hostile, but has taken every opportunity to turn the Greek population against its rulers, in hopes that a more “moderate”, technocrat government would replace the “radical leftists.” So far it has failed, despite the best attempts by the ECB and the European Commission to sput a terminal bank run. Continue reading »

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Apr 23

parthenon

Forget “Grexit”, “Grimbo” Has Arrived (ZeroHedge, April 23, 2015):

If you didn’t know any better you might think “Grimbo” was a new Sesame Street character. Far from being the name of something that brings smiles to the faces of young children however, it’s actually the latest one-word take on the likely outcome of Greece’s protracted, painful negotiations with creditors, which will continue tomorrow in Riga where progress is, according to pretty much everyone that will be involved, unlikely. The new term follows in the footsteps of the classic (but now tired) “Grexit” and its underrated predecessor “Graccident,” and refers to two of the four outcomes Citi imagines are possible in the unfolding Greek drama. Here, via Citi, are the scenarios that would constitute Grimbo: Continue reading »

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Apr 15

schauble stare

German FinMin Schaeuble Sees “No Contagion” From Grexit, Don’t Show Him This Chart (ZeroHedge, April 15, 2015):

Because all that matters is what some elite says, we are sure the following propaganda from German FinMin Schaeuble will be regurgitated by the mainstream media:

  • *SCHAEUBLE SAYS “YOU CAN’T SEE ANY CONTAGION”

However, if one actually looks at the data – European peripheral bond risk premia have soared in the last week as Grexit fears resurge.

20150415_cont

Charts: Bloomberg

 

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Apr 05

Grexit-2

Cypriot President Throws Greeks Under The Bus: “Planning To Deal With Grexit” (ZeroHedge, April 5, 2015):

“I want to believe that there is no such risk,” says Cypriot President Nikos Anastasiades, but in a shock to the Greeks, their close ‘ally’ in Cyprus, as KeepTalking Greece notes, openly joined the international Grexit propaganda club, as Anastasiades said his country had a backup plan to deal with the fallout of a possible Greek exit from the eurozone.

As ekathimerini reports,  Cyprus President Nikos Anastasiades told a media conference in Nicosia on Friday that Nicosia has a backup plan to deal with the fallout of a possible Greek exit from the eurozone.

“I want to believe that there is no such risk,” Anastasiades said in response to a reporter’s question. But to be on the safe side, Nicosia has “prepared a plan to deal with whichever outcome may transpire,” Anastasiades said, citing a Cypriot saying according to which “forward-looking children cook before they get hungry.” Continue reading »

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Apr 03

GREXIT

Greece Said To Prepare “Grexit”, Drachma, Bank Nationalization Plans (ZeroHedge, April 2, 2015):

On Thursday morning, we took an in-depth look at what the progression of events is likely to be in the event a cash-strapped, negotiation-weary Greece finally, for lack of will or for lack of options, fails to scrape together enough cash to pay its creditors. As BofAML notes, a missed IMF payment and/or failure to make interest payments to either the ECB or private creditors over the coming weeks would likely lead to default within 30 days, at which point “mark-to-fantasy” becomes mark-to-market and then “mark-to-default” in very short order.

Although Greek officials came out midday with a “categorical” denial of reports that the country was set to run completely out of cash in just 7 days, it now appears Athens may be prepared to chance a missed IMF payment and all that comes with it if it means saving face and preserving Syriza’s campaign promises to the beleaguered Greek populace.  Continue reading »

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Mar 23

FYI.


grexit-3

Why Greece is the lynchpin that could unleash economic collapse, domestic martial law and global war (Natural News, March 23, 2015):

I wish I could download to your brain everything you need to know about the European Crisis unfolding right now. The possibility of the breakup of the European Union could be the spark that sets off the global debt implosion that leads to violent conflict across the globe.

The actions of Greece, it turns out, could set off a chain reaction that leads directly to a Wall Street panic and the “bail-in” seizure of your savings accounts at your favorite hometown bank. It could also radically destabilize Eastern Europe, heightening the risk for conflict between Russia and Western European nations (including NATO members like the United States).
Continue reading »

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Mar 18

drachma 10000

ECB Prepares For Grexit, Anticipates 95% Loss On Greek Debt (ZeroHedge, March 18, 2015):

Dear Greek readers: the writing is now on the wall, and it is in very clear 48-point, double bold, and underlined font: when the ECB “leaks” that it is modelling a Grexit, something Draghi lied about over and over in 2012 and directly in our face too, take it seriously, because it is time to start planning about what happens on “the day after.” And incidentally to all those curious what the fair value of peripheral European bonds is excluding ECB backstops, the ECB has a handy back of the envelope calculation: a 95% loss.

Which also is the punchline, because while the ECB is making it very clear what happens next in the case of a “Graccident“, it has yet to provide an explanation how it will resolve the billions of Greek debt held on its own balance sheet which are about to be “marked-to-default“… Continue reading »

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Feb 18

Draghi Satan

“In The End Capital Controls Will Probably Have To Be Imposed” – Eurogroup Official (ZeroHedge, Feb 17, 2015):

With less than 24 hours until the ECB’s meeting at which Mario Draghi and company are set to decide if i) they will increase the current Greek emergency liquidity allotment from €65 billion as a result of the ongoing bank deposit run or ii) reduce – or even outright cancel it – to send Tsipras a message that the time for negotiations is over, Europe is no longer playing Mr. nice guy. In fact, judging by the latest report in Reuters, which may well be nothing but another planted trial balloon (in the aftermath of today’s latest Telegraph revelations one should read everything presented in the media, here certainly included, with a cape-size ship full of salt) Greece can kiss goodbye not only any a loan extension without a bailout “programme” resumption, but also any hope that tomorrow’s its ELA will be increased.  Continue reading »

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Feb 09

Flashback:

Here Is What Happens After Greece Defaults (ZeroHedge, May 21, 2011):

What happens when Greece defaults. Here are a few things:

  • Every bank in Greece will instantly go insolvent.
  • The Greek government will nationalise every bank in Greece.
  • The Greek government will forbid withdrawals from Greek banks.

Greek Euro Exit: 60% Currency Devaluation, Default, Banking Sector Collapse (Forbes, Sep. 06, 2011)

How can the Greek people protect themselves?

Belarus Devalues Its Currency By 56% Overnight, Against Every Currency Out There (ZeroHedge, May 23, 2011):

Luckily for those who held their “money” in the form of gold and silver, they just got an instantaneous 56% value preservation and a relative boost in their purchasing power with just one central bank announcement.


grexit-3

If Greece Exits, Here Is What Happens (Redux) (ZeroHedge, Feb 8, 2015):

Now that the possibility of a Greek exit from the euro is back to being topic #1 of discussion, just as it was back in the summer of 2012 and the fall of 2011, and investors are propagandized by groundless speculation posited by journalists who have never used excel in their lives and are merely paid mouthpieces of bigger bank interests, it is time to rewind to a step by step analysis of precisely what will happen in the moments before Greece announces the EMU exit, how the transition from pre- to post- occurs, and the aftermath of what said transition would entail, courtesy of one of the smarter minds out there at the time (before his transition to a more status quo supportive tone), Citi’s Willem Buiter, who pontificated precisely on this topic previously. Three words: “not unequivocally good.” Continue reading »

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