Sep 17

Related info:

- Goldman’s Take On China’s “Stealth QE”:

“Domestic media (Sina) reported that the PBOC conducted RMB 500bn of Standing Lending Facility operations with the big 5 commercial banks (ICBC, BOC, BoCOM, CCB, ABC). The reports note that the duration is 3 months and the RMB 500 bn is evenly split among the banks. This amount is roughly the same as a 50 bps cut to RRR for the whole banking system on a static basis. There is no official confirmation from the PBOC yet. Still, such an easing would be consistent with our expectation that (1) monetary policy will loosened amid the drastic slowdown in activity growth and falling inflation, and (2) full scale RRR and interest rate cuts are unlikely because they would be viewed as aggressive stimulus.”

- What Happened After China’s Last “Stealth QE”?:

In a worrying sense of deja-vu all over again, today’s rip higher reflects perfectly the US equity market’s knee-jerk reaction to the last ‘Stealth QE’ from China on July 28th. That did not end well as hot money flowed out to the instantaneously “easiest” central bank in the world…

Markets React Violently To China’s Stealth QE:

From copper to high-yield credit and from stocks to bonds and gold, markets are reacting violently to the headlines from China that they are unleashing another 500bn Yuan “stealth QE”everything is rallying.. except the USD (biggest drop since May).


China Launches CNY500 Billion In “Stealth QE” (ZeroHedge, Sep 16, 2014):

It has been a while since the PBOC engaged in some “targeted” QE. So clearly following the biggest drop in the Shanghai Composite in 6 months after some abysmal Chinese economic and flow data in the past several days, it’s time for some more. From Bloomberg:

  • CHINA’S PBOC STARTS 500B YUAN SLF TODAY, SINA.COM SAYS
  • PBOC PROVIDES 500B YUAN LIQUIDITY TO CHINA’S TOP 5 BANKS: SINA
  • PBOC PROVIDES 100B YUAN TO EACH BANK TODAY, TOMORROW WITH DURATION OF 3 MONTHS: SINA

Just as expected, the Chinese “derivative” currency, the AUD, goes vertical on the news, and the S&P 500 goes vertical alongside: Continue reading »

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Sep 17

Obama_debt_star

The U.S. National Debt Has Grown By More Than A Trillion Dollars In The Last 12 Months (Economic Collapse, Sep 14, 2014):

The idea that the Obama administration has the budget deficit under control is a complete and total lie.  According to the U.S. Treasury, the federal government has officially run a deficit of 589 billion dollars for the first 11 months of fiscal year 2014.  But this number is just for public consumption and it relies on accounting tricks which massively understate how much debt is actually being accumulated.  If you want to know what the real budget deficit is, all you have to do is go to a U.S. Treasury website which calculates the U.S. national debt to the penny.  On September 30th, 2013 the U.S. national debt was sitting at $16,738,183,526,697.32.  As I write this, the U.S. national debt is sitting at $17,742,108,970,073.37.  That means that the U.S. national debt has actually grown by more than a trillion dollars in less than 12 months.  We continue to wildly run up debt as if there is no tomorrow, and by doing so we are destroying the future of this nation. Continue reading »

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Sep 16

Bank Of America Has A Message For Its European Depositors: “We May Charge You” (ZeroHedge, Sep 15, 2014):

Because Mario Draghi wasn’t joking about that whole NIRP thing. And yes, negative deposit rates mean just that.

BofA Europe deposits_0

As the letter says, don’t worry: Bank of America has an extensive team of “liquidity and investment management solutions” experts who will gladly advise you to rotate your money out of deposits and into financial stocks, preferably that of BAC itself.

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Sep 16

- Why Scotland Has All The Leverage, In One Chart (ZeroHedge, Sep 15, 2014):

As Scotland prepares to vote for or against Independence from the Union on Thursday, it appears everyone has an opinion on what may, what should and what will happen. At the basis of every such opinion is some basis in fact, misguided as it may be in most cases, about who has all the leverage, with the dominant one being that Scotland would make a horrendous mistake if it says goodbye to the UK and puts a border around what is currently a third of UK’s landmass.

Some, such as Deutsche Bank, the bank that has the single greatest derivative exposure in the world and is therefore most leveraged to maintaining the status quo, saw its “Chief Economist & Member, Group Executive Committee, Deutsche Bank AG” David Folkerts-Landau personally put pen to paper on Friday and in rambling, demagogic terms, explain why it would be a “Wrong Turn” for Scotland to seek self-determination. Continue reading »

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Sep 16

- Minimum-Wage Blowback; The De-Humanization Of Fast-Food Has Begun (ZeroHedge, Sep 15, 2014):

In January we noted ‘Smart Restaurant’ – the burger-flipping robot – and just last month we reported on China’s robotification of the fast-food business; but, as The Washington Post reports, the greatest enemy to the minimum-wage-demanding fast-food worker has arrived: you can now order your own quarter-pound bacon cheeseburger from a welcoming, non-judging machine. With McDonalds sales the worst in almost a decade, it appears their need to maintain profits has stoked a move towards dehumanization. One wonder how long before this action is also declared ‘unpatriotic’.

As WaPo reports, Continue reading »

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Sep 16

- US Industrial Production Follows China; Misses With Biggest Drop Since Jan (ZeroHedge, Sep 15, 2014):

But but but… the survey all said record highs… Yet another piece of hard data hits the tape and disappoints. While Fed surveys point to an exuberant economy, Industrial Production fell 0.1% in August (missing +0.28% expectations) for its worst print since January’s “weather”-related plunge. This comes on the heels of Chinese Industrial Production at its worst in 6 years… perhaps explaining why global GDP expectations continue to test cycle lows. US Capacity Utilization also dropped to 78.8% (lowest since Feb) and the weakness was all Manufacturing driven as production slumped 0.4% MoM – its worst since Jan. So who you gonna believe? Soft surveys? or Hard data?


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Sep 15

Related info:

- The Fed Has A Big Surprise Waiting For You (ZeroHedge, Sep 13, 2014):

The US economy is dead. The Fed has known this for a long time, but pumped it up to where it is now to draw in all the greater fools, the so-called big investors who have made money like honey from QE and ZIRP. They are the greater fools. The American real economy ceased being a consideration long ago. We’re in for big surprises, and they won’t be pretty, they’ll be pretty nasty. There are far too many people who think of themselves as smart who don’t see the difference between a theater play and a reality show. The Fed will raise rates because that will make the biggest banks the most money. There’s nothing else that matters. The Fed can’t revive the US economy, that’s just a foolish notion. But it can suck a lot of wealth out of it.


Federal-Reserve-Bernanke1

- Speculation swirls over Fed language on rate hike (Guardian/AP, Sep 15, 2014):

When the Federal Reserve issues a policy statement after it meets this week, the financial world will be on high alert for two words:

“Considerable time.”

The presence or absence of that phrase will trigger a rush to assess the likely timing of the Fed’s first increase in interest rates since it cut them to record lows in 2008.

The Fed’s recent statements have said it expects to keep its key short-term rate near zero for a “considerable time” after it stops buying Treasurys and mortgage bonds. Those bond purchases have been intended to keep long-term rates down to support the economy. Continue reading »

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Sep 15

Flashback.



Published on Jun 5, 2013

If this doesn’t wake you up, I don’t know what will.

Links to get you started on your research: Continue reading »

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Sep 15

- Kohl’s And The Rest Of The Retailers Are In Deep Trouble (Sovereign Man, Sep 13, 2014):

Kohl’s And The Rest Of The Retailers Are In Deep Doo Doo

“Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are pliable.” ? Mark Twain

I never believe government manufactured numbers. They will always be adjusted, massaged, and manipulated to achieve a happy ending for the propagandists attempting to control and fleece the sheep. Yesterday, the government produced retail sales numbers for August that were weak and the corporate MSM propaganda machine immediately threw up bold headlines declaring how strong these numbers were. Positive stories were published on the interwebs and Wall Street hack economists were rolled out on CNBC, where the bubble headed bimbos and prostitutes for the status quo like Jim Cramer and Steve Liesman declared the recovery gaining strength. Woo Hoo. Continue reading »

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Sep 15

The Trials and Tribulations of “Abenomics” (Acting-Man, Sep 14, 2014):

We have frequently discussed the nonsensical attempt by Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe and BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda to print and spend Japan back to prosperity. By now it is well known that devaluing the yen has not achieved the desired effect, but rather the opposite. Not only have exports not really received the expected boost, but Japan’s trade and current account surplus have decreased markedly, even posting negative numbers for the first time in decades. Of course, currency debasement never works: it cannot work. This is Keynesian logic and brilliance in all it splendor.

 

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Sep 15

- Why The Rigging Of The Gold Market Matters (Zerohedge, Sep 14, 2014):

In a radio interview recently I was asked a question to which I could not easily give a satisfactory reply: if the gold market is rigged, why does it matter? Continue reading »

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Sep 15

russian-response-sanctions-cars

- Russia may restrict import of Western cars, clothes in new sanctions tit-for-tat (RT, Sep 12, 2014):

Imports of Western cars and clothes into Russia could be restricted as part of a second round of “retaliatory” measures prepared in response to the sanctions against Moscow, says presidential aide Andrey Belousov.

There are many sellers of non-agricultural goods in the West who are heavily dependent on the Russian market, the official said. Continue reading »

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Sep 14

FYI.


- The Fed Has A Big Surprise Waiting For You (ZeroHedge, Sep 13, 2014):

The US economy is dead. The Fed has known this for a long time, but pumped it up to where it is now to draw in all the greater fools, the so-called big investors who have made money like honey from QE and ZIRP. They are the greater fools. The American real economy ceased being a consideration long ago. We’re in for big surprises, and they won’t be pretty, they’ll be pretty nasty. There are far too many people who think of themselves as smart who don’t see the difference between a theater play and a reality show. The Fed will raise rates because that will make the biggest banks the most money. There’s nothing else that matters. The Fed can’t revive the US economy, that’s just a foolish notion. But it can suck a lot of wealth out of it.

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Sep 14

Art Cashin

- Art Cashin: “Things Could Theoretically Turn Into What I Call A Lehman Moment” (ZeroHedge, Sep 13, 2014):

Courtesy of Finanz und Wirtschaft, interview by Christoph Gisiger

Wall Street veteran Art Cashin does not fully trust the record levels at the stock market and draws worrisome parallels between the geopolitical tensions over Ukraine and the Cuban missile crisis.

From the assassination of President Kennedy via the stock market crash of 1987 and the Fall of the Berlin Wall through to the burst of the dotcom bubble, the terror attacks of 9/11 and the collapse of Lehman Brothers: Art Cashin has experienced all the major world events of the last half century at the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Currently, the highly respected Wall Street veteran keeps a close eye on the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and on the situation in Ukraine which reminds him of the Cuban missile crisis «The markets are edgy and nervous», says the Director of Floor Operations for UBS Financial Services while constantly checking the quotation board. Like many traders here, he is somewhat skeptical of the huge stock market rally that started in March 2009. «I think it is a question of the extraordinarily low interest rates», he explains. Continue reading »

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Sep 14

obama puppet

- America’s Poor Have Never Been Deeper In Debt (ZeroHedge, Sep 13, 2014):

When it comes to the poorest quartile of US society, some 14 million people, any suggestion that US society is deleveraging and setting the stage for pent up releveraging and thus, economic growth, is dead wrong. In fact, as the Fed’s triennial Survey of Consumer Finances, released last week showed, America’s poorest have never been more in debt! Continue reading »

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Sep 13

Europe Folds To Russian Demands, Delays Ukraine Free Trade Deal By Over A Year (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

While the world was poring through the details of the latest round of preannounced western sanctions against Russia – a round which Russia commented would have virtually no actual impact – and just as excitedly awaiting the Kremlin’s retaliation which Putin warned is coming shortly, far from the glare of the center stage Europe quietly folded to a bigger Russian demand namely to delay the implementation of a Ukraine free trade deal by more than one year until the end of 2015 and likely beyond. Continue reading »

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Sep 13

- China Daily: “Western Sanctions Will Make Moscow Back The Chinese Yuan Against The Dollar” (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

Op-Ed posted in China Daily

West’s Antics Pushing Russia closer to China

Putin Xi Sept 2014

The recent NATO summit in Wales, held against the background of the armed conflict in Ukraine, has brought back the Cold War atmosphere to Europe. NATO’s partnership with Russia remains formally suspended. In fact, NATO is treating Russia more as an adversary than a partner. Continue reading »

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Sep 13

Putin111

- US Unveils Latest Russian Sanctions, Putin Immediately Responds That Russia Drafting Retaliation (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

Moments ago, as was widely preannounced, the US Treasury unveiled its latest round of Russian sanctions. While the bigger picture was well-known, here are some of the highlights:

  • U.S. SANCTIONS FOCUS ON FINANCIAL, ENERGY, DEFENSE SECTORS
  • U.S. TREASURY ADDS SBERBANK TO SANCTIONS LIST,
  • U.S. TREASURY SANCTIONS AFFECTS GAZPROM, GAZPROM NEFT, LUKOIL, ROSNEFT, AND SURGUTNEFTGAZ
  • U.S. TIGHTENS DEBT FINANCING RESTRICTIONS TO 30 DAYS

As Bloomberg reports, action deepens existing sanctions on Russian financial institutions, expands sanctions on Russia’s energy sector, targets additional energy- and defense-related firms, U.S. Treasury says in statement. “Today’s actions demonstrate our determination to increase the costs on Russia as long as it continues to violate Ukraine’s territorial integrity and sovereignty,” Under  Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence David S. Cohen says in statement

Treasury Dept says it “maintains significant scope to expand these sanctions.” Continue reading »

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Sep 13

- Stanford engineers aim to connect the world with ant-sized radios (Stanford, Sep 9, 2014):

Costing just pennies to make, tiny radios-on-a-chip are designed to serve as controllers or sensors for the ‘Internet of Things.’

Stanford engineering team, in collaboration with researchers from the University of California, Berkeley, has built a radio the size of an ant, a device so energy efficient that it gathers all the power it needs from the same electromagnetic waves that carry signals to its receiving antenna – no batteries required. Continue reading »

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Sep 13

broken-britain

- UK Suffers Biggest Capital Outflow Since Lehman As Scottish Vote Nears (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

Investors pulled $27 billion out of UK financial assets last month – the biggest capital outflow since the Lehman crisis in 2008 – as concern mounted about the economic and financial consequences if Scotland left the UK, according to Reuters. Furthermore, Morgan Stanley said daily equity flow data pointed to “some of the largest UK equity selling on record.”

As Reuters notes, Continue reading »

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Sep 13

In Venezuela First They Came For The Toilet Paper; Then They Came For The News Paper… (ZeroHedge, Sep 11, 2014):

Bidet sales across Venezuela are set to soar as just months after running out of toilet paper, AP reports that Venezuela’s oldest newspaper is shutting down due to falling advertising, mounting inflation and a lack of basic materials. In addition, at least nine Venezuelan regional newspapers have stopped circulation because of the shortages. Of course, this is likely great news for President Maduro who can now manage his people’s minds direct from his Twitter feed… welcome to socialist utopia.

As AP reports, Continue reading »

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Sep 13

- Oil Price Plunge? It’s The Global Economy, Stupid! (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

The decline in the price of oil – in the face of surging geopolitical pandemonium – has been lauded as indicative of both US’ awesomeness in energy independence and a tax cut for Americans… but, as the following chart suggests, there may be another – much more realistic – explanation for why oil is plunging… demand!

World GDP expectations for 2014 just tumbled to their lowest since estimates started…

20140912_oil

Maybe – just maybe – that explains the price of oil…

Charts: Bloomberg

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Sep 13

- Where ISIS Makes Its Money  (ZeroHedge, Sep 12, 2014):

President Obama’s 4-pronged strategy to ‘degrade and destroy’ ISIS includes a ‘financial attack’ (according to the Treasury) as they recognize, as The Daily Signal notes, one major hurdle in the way of the ‘strategy’ is the brutal organization’s control of oil fields in Iraq and Syria; which ISIS uses that oil wealth to help finance its terror operations. Here’s how they do it…

20140911_isis

As The Daily Signal’s Kelsey Harkness ( @kelseyjharkness ) notes,

According to the Iraq Energy Institute, an independent, nonprofit policy organization focused on Iraq’s energy sector, the army of radical Islamists controls production of 30,000 barrels of oil a day in Iraq and 50,000 barrels in Syria. Continue reading »

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Sep 12

- Martin Armstrong Warns “Spain Is Moving Towards Civil War” (ZeroHedge, Sep 11, 2014):

Submitted by Martin Armstrong via Armstrong Economics,

  • *SPANISH GOVT SAYS 470,000 TO 520,000 DEMONSTRATORS IN BARCELONA
  • *BARCELONA POLICE SAY 1.8M PEOPLE AT PRO-INDEPENDENCE DEMO

Spain-Militarizing

The Spanish government is militarizing gearing up for violent protests against the EU that are expected to turn up before a hot autumn. Spain is now equipping the police with about one billion million euros with new combat equipment. Violent protests in Spain since the crisis began almost a daily occurrence. Movements such as 25 de Mayo or the Indignados call Spaniards of all strata of the population to protest against the government on the streets. The police will always respond violently. They cover up their brutal responses by banning any video of police beatings making it a crime in itself. This is certainly illustrating the loss of freedom and any democratic process within Europe. The police scandals have only charged the atmosphere within the population and we may see this erupt into civil war as we move forward. Continue reading »

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Sep 12

- Meet The Puppetmasters: Here Are The 25 Most Politically Influential Billionaires In The US (ZeroHedge, Sep 11, 2014):

It has been said, correctly, if only by those who see beyond the false “left-right” paradigm, that those who call the shots in US politics, and thus American socio-economics, are not so much America’s lobbying corporations, but the people behind the corporations – i.e., those who have the money… all of it. Obviously, nobody has more money than America’s billionaires. So who are the true puppetmasters who determine America’s fate?

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Sep 12

- George Soros Warns “This Is The Worst Possible Time” For Scottish Independence (ZeroHedge, Sep 11, 2014):

Authored by George Soros, originally posted Op-Ed at The FT,

This is the worst possible time for Britain to consider leaving the EU – or for Scotland to break with Britain.

The EU is an unfinished project of European states that have sacrificed part of their sovereignty to form an ever-closer union based on shared values and ideals. Those shared values are under attack on multiple fronts. Russia’s undeclared war against Ukraine is perhaps the most immediate example but it is by no means the only one. Resurgent nationalism and illiberal democracy are on the rise within Europe, at its borders and around the globe. Continue reading »

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Sep 11

change-we-can-believe-in

- Summarizing The President’s Speech (ZeroHedge, Sep 10. 2014):

Update: Senator McCain blasts Jay Carney – “you don’t have the facts” and President Obama “he doesn’t understand the situation” in this post-speech CNN interview… well worth the price of admission…

In 15 minutes, President Obama laid out his 4-pronged strategy to defat and dismantle ISIS/ISIL/The Islamic State/’The Bad Guys’…

2179 words…

20140910_obama5

We suspect this tweet sums it perfectly…

But here is The White House’s official statement of strategy…

FACT SHEET: Strategy to Counter the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL)

The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) poses a clear threat to the people of Iraq and Syria, and to the broader Middle East, as well as U.S. persons, allies and interests in the region.  Left unchecked, ISIL could pose a growing threat beyond the region, including to the U.S. homeland.  Continue reading »

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Sep 11

- What Petrodollar: Russia, China To Create SWIFT Alternative (ZeroHedge, Sep 10, 2014):

If, when in February Victoria Nuland infamously launched a (not so) covert campaign to replace the ruling Ukraine president oblivious to the human casualties, resulting in a civil war in east Ukraine, NATO encroachment along the borders of Russia, and a near-terminal escalation in hostilities between Ukraine, Russian, and various regional NATO members, the US intention was to provoke the Kremlin so hard that the nation with the world’s largest reserves of mineral and energy resources would jettison the US Dollar and in the process begin the unraveling of the USD reserve currency status (as much as Jared Bernstein desires just such an outcome) it succeeded and then some. Because in the end it may have pushed not just Russia into the anti-petrodollar camp… it appears to have forced China in it as well.

According to Itar-Tass, Russia and China are discussing setting up a system of interbank transactions which will become an analogue to International banking transaction system SWIFT, First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov told PRIME on Wednesday after negotiations in Beijing.

“Yes, we have discussed and we have approved this idea,” he said. Continue reading »

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Sep 11

broken-britain

- The Black Swan Of Scotland (ZeroHedge, Sep 10, 2014):

It appears The UK government’s approach to Scotland has shifted dramatically from threats (we can’t guarantee your saefty against terrorists) to hugs and kisses.. as David Cameron begs Scots not to tear apart Britain’s “family of nations.”

“I would be heartbroken if this family of nations … was torn apart,” Cameron, speaking in the atrium of the Scottish Widows building in central Edinburgh.

It appears – as we explain below – there is good reason to panic… Continue reading »

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Sep 11

Deutsche Bank: The Bubble Must Go On To Sustain The “Current Global Financial System” (ZeroHedge, Sep 10, 2014):

When all is said and done, it all basically boils down to this: from Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.

The bubble probably needs to continue in order to sustain the current global financial system and the necessary future deleveraging. However with yields moving ever lower in many parts of the world in recent times, partly due to weak growth, and with debt levels still moving higher, the chances are that most government bondholders are unlikely to achieve a positive real return over the medium to long-term from this starting point. Inflation or even the risk of sovereign restructuring will likely prevent this.

So there you have it: either the bubble goes on, or the “current global financial system” gets it. Continue reading »

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