Infinite Unknown

Flashback:

- Mike Krieger: This Is The Last Dance:

They refuse to allow the yuan to strengthen because they know that once they do that it will mark the real end of the dollar era. So instead they are spending like crazy on infrastructure ahead of them allowing the dollar to plunge.  Then the strong yuan will be employed to purchase all the commodities they need to utilize their infrastructure and the OECD gets priced out. To those that talk about yuan devaluation, you need to be specific.  Devaluation versus what?  Versus commodities generally along with other currencies?  I can buy that argument very easily.  Versus the dollar, highly doubtful.  Why? The latest data says China owns $877.5 billion in U.S. treasuries. All they have to do is start dumping and the dollar is finished as the Fed will be forced to print so many dollars it will make Mugabe blush.  People need to wake up.

(Mike Krieger, formerly a macro analyst at Bernstein, and currently running his own fund, KAM LP, summarizies the pretend reality we are all caught in now, knowing full well America is set on a crash course with reality at some point, yet sticking our collective heads in the sand, as the collapse will be some time in the “indefinite” future. In the meantime, banks will continue to boost US GDP by peddling “financial innovation” and restructuring advice to countries like Greece… and nothing else.)

Ready for the greatest financial collapse in world history?

This is the ‘Greatest Depression.

- China moves on currency after growing US pressure (Telegraph, April 14, 2012):

China took a major step closer to turning its yuan into a fully tradable global currency today, by doubling the range by which it is allowed to rise or fall against the dollar.

The People’s Bank of China said that from Monday it will double the trading band, so that the yuan can fluctuate by 1pc every day from a mid-point, compared with its previous limit of 0.5pc.

The move demonstrates Beijing’s belief that the yuan is now stable enough to handle major structural reforms, despite slowing growth of the Chinese economy.

Analysts said the slowdown may have actually spurred Beijing to make the change, because the Chinese government knew it could introduce the larger band without causing a spike in the yuan’s value.

Continue reading »

Tags: Barack Obama, China, Dollar, Economy, Global News, Government, IMF, Obama administration, People's Bank of China, Politics, U.S., Yuan

The greatest financial collapse in world history is coming.

This is the ‘Greatest Depression’.

- The Great Collapse of the US Empire (LewRockwell, April 12, 2012):

The biggest story of the late 20th century was the collapse of the Soviet Union. After decades of a government controlled, centrally planned economy and outsized military expenditures the Soviet Union just one day ceased to be. Fast forward a few decades and now the biggest story about to happen in the early 21st century will be the collapse of the US empire for the exact same reasons.

The US economy has been centrally planned and manipulated by the communist fashioned central bank, the Federal Reserve, for 99 years now. But it wasn’t until August 15, 1971 that the last linkage of gold from the US dollar was removed and the US Government and the Federal Reserve were allowed to truly run rampant with their anti-capitalist economic system.

A look at US Government debt since the beginning of the 20th century tells the story:

Just like the Soviet Union the US has also bankrupted itself on offense. Sorry, they call it defense even though all they do is attack and occupy other countries. The US spends more than the rest of the world combined on its military and spends $2,374 per capita each year. The next nine closest countries in military spending per capita average $80 per annum. Continue reading »

Tags: Bonds, Collapse, Debt, Dollar, Economy, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Gold, Government, Politics, Quantitative Easing, Society, U.S.

- 150 Years Of US Fiat (ZeroHedge, April 7, 2012)

Tags: Dollar, Economy, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Inflation, Politics, Quantitative Easing, U.S.

- The Fed Is Losing The “Race To Debase” (ZeroHedge, Mar 25, 2012):

As we pointed out about a month ago, in “While You Were Sleeping, Central Banks Flooded The World In Liquidity” as the world was focused on headlines whether or not the Fed would step up as it always does when the market is sliding, and unleash the monetary floodgates, it was not Ben Bernanke, but eveyrone else that hit CTRL+P and took the place of the Fed, of note the primary central banking peers among the Final Four – the ECB, the BOE and the BOJ. And why not: after all the hope was that since electronic money is electronic money, and can be moved from point A to point B at the push of a button, it would be used primarily to reflate stocks around the world, but mostly where the path has least resistance – the US. What was not accounted for was that money would also be used to inflate commodities such as oil – a key factor when delaying further US-based easing in an election year. However, more than even record for this time of year gas prices, there was one even more important outcome from this chain of events. As the following chart from Willem Buiter shows, in its fake attempt to show monetary restraint, the Fed has gone straight into last place in the “race to debase.” Needless to say, in a world with $25+trillion in “excess” debt (debt which would need to be eliminated simply to reduce global debt/GDP to a “sustainable” 180% per BCG), last is a very bad place to be…

Of course, our frequent readers will note that this is the same chart that we have presented, however in the form of the main correlation chart for 2012 as we have dubbed it – i.e,  the ratio between the size of the ECB and the FED vs the EURUSD. What is probably also quite disturbing is that the Fed is “losing” even after expanding by a massive 232% in the past 5 years, a number that is only topped by the Bank of England. To quantify, the Fed is now responsible for “only” 20% or so of US GDP, compared to 30% for the ECB and BOJ. To further quantify, to get back to first place in the race to debase, the Fed will have to do at least another $1.5 trillion in QE.

Also, having become a buyer of last reserve for credit money, it is easy to see why one should be outright skeptical of US GDP “numbers” – from 6% of US GDP, the Fed now accounts for a whopping 19% – this is “growth” that would not have happened unless the Fed, via debt monetization would have allowed it. Said otherwise, net of Fed deleveraging (if it ever unwinds its balance sheet of course), US GDP would be a 13% lower!

Not only that but as the chart above shows, global GDP has about $6 trillion in “one-time, non-recurring” growth factored in. Continue reading »

Tags: Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, Bonds, Debt, Dollar, ECB, Economy, Euro, GDP, Global News, Government, Politics, pound, U.S.

- Is Ron Paul Taleb’s New Black Swan? (ZeroHedge, Mar 13, 2012):

While he does have some new philosophy (at X% off MSRP of course, coming to a Kindle near you) to preach, Nassim Taleb’s re-emergence from the darkness of the media spotlight starts with a bang: “I realized that something wrong is going on, and only one candidate ‘Ron Paul’ seems to have grasped the issues and is offering the right remedies“. He was given quite a lengthy period to proselytize as he outlines the Big Four problems he sees with the USA (and for that matter the world): Deficits (metastatic governments), The Fed, Militarism, and non-Bailouts (what is fragile should break early). As Ron Paul notes, “It’s an illusion that the USD can bailout the world”, Taleb makes many interesting, though a little murmur-some for our liking, points like “you don’t gamble with hyperinflation” and his comparison between the US and the Soviet Union will surely raise some headlines as he rants of the growing divide between public and private employees standards of living, our “need to do something drastic about it” and on Obama/Government and deficit reduction that “the whole thing is rotten“.

Tags: Bailout, Barack Obama, Black Swan, Dollar, Economy, Global News, Government, Nassim Taleb, Obama administration, Politics, Ron Paul, U.S.

- Fed mulling sterilized bond purchases: report (Reuters, Mar 7, 2012):

WASHINGTON – Federal Reserve officials are considering a novel approach to bond buying aimed at countering some of the worry that another round of asset purchases by the central bank could fuel inflation, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Citing people familiar with the matter, the newspaper reported on Wednesday that should the Fed decide to buy more bonds to boost growth, it could borrow back the money it used to buy those bonds for short periods of time at low interest rates. Doing so would take that money out of circulation, or sterilize it.

Continue reading »

Tags: Bonds, Debt, Dollar, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Government, Politics, U.S.

YouTube

Tags: Andrew Napolitano, Debt, Dollar, Economy, Fed, Federal Reserve, Government, Politics, Society, U.S.

Flashback.

YouTube

Tags: Banking, Bonds, Debt, Documentary, Dollar, Economy, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Government, Inflation, Politics, Society, The Money Masters, U.S.

- The Race To Debase In All Its Glory (ZeroHedge, Feb. 19, 2012):

Lest anyone forget what the real story is, here is a reminder. Thank you neo-Keynesian economics for making a mockery of non-scientific notation.

Tags: Bank of Japan, Central Bank, Dollar, ECB, Economy, Euro, Europe, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Government, People's Bank of China, Politics, U.S., Yen, Yuan

- Gold: 1980 vs Today (ZeroHedge, Feb. 17, 2012):

When gold was undergoing its latest (and certainly not greatest) near-parabolic move last year, there were those pundits consistently calling for comparisons to 1980, and the subsequent gold crash. Yet even a simplistic analysis indicates that while in the 1980s gold was a hedge to runaway inflation, in the current deflationary regime, it is a hedge to central planner stupidity that will result as a response to runaway deflation. In other words, it is a hedge to what happens when the trillions in central bank reserves (at last check approaching 30% of world GDP). There is much more, and we have explained the nuances extensively previously, but for those who are only now contemplating the topic of gold for the first time, the following brief summary from futuremoneytrends.com captures the salient points. Far more importantly, it also focuses on a topic that so far has not seen much media focus: the quiet and pervasive expansion in bilateral currency agreements which are nothing short of a precursor to dropping the dollar entirely once enough backup linkages are in place: a situation which will likely crescendo soon courtesy of upcoming developments in Iran, discussed here previously.

YouTube Added: 17.02.2012

Tags: China, Debt, Deflation, Dollar, Economy, Fed, Federal Reserve, Global News, Gold, Government, India, Inflation, Iran, Iraq, Japan, Keynesianism, Libya, Muammar Gaddafi, Politics, Quantitative Easing, Russia, Saddam Hussein, Society, U.S., War