Last Thursday when we recounted the story of how Venezuela is now literally flying in paper money (using three dozen cargo Boeing 747s), we wrote that “Venezuela’s hyperinflation, already tentatively estimated at 720%, will likely add on a few (hundred) zeroes by this time next year. It is also quite likely that Venezuela the country, as we know it now, will no longer exist because once any nation is swept up in hyperinflationary rapids two things occur like clockwork: social uprisings and political coups.
But before it gets there, Venezuela’s president Maduro will be busy liquidating the nation’s roughly $12 billion in gold reserves, which his late predecessor fought hard in 2011 to repatriate back to Caracas. Sadly that gold was never meant to stay in Venezuela after all.“
And sure enough, just a day later, Reuters writes that Venezuela’s central bank has begun negotiations with the suddenly troubled Deutsche Bank to carry out gold swaps “to improve the liquidity of its foreign reserves as it faces heavy debt payments this year”, payments which it won’t be able to fund unless it manages to “liquify” its gold. Continue reading »
“We have reached that fork in the road within the monetary twilight zone, where Europe’s largest bank is openly defying central bank policy and demanding an end to easy money. Alas, since tighter monetary policy assures just as much if not more pain, one can’t help but wonder just how the central banks get themselves out of this particular trap they set up for themselves.”
Ever since this Rothschild puppet and Bilderberg bastard left Deutsche I’ve put it on my watchlist:
Back in April 2013, we showed for the first time something few were aware of, namely that “At $72.8 Trillion, The Bank With The Biggest Derivative Exposure In The World” was not JPMorgan as some had expected, but Germany’s banking behemoth, Deutsche bank.
Some brushed it off, saying one should never look at gross derivative exposure but merely net, to which we had one simple response: net immediately becomes gross when just one counterparty in the collateral chains fails – case in point, the Lehman and AIG failures and the resulting scramble to bailout the entire world which cost trillions in taxpayer funds.
We then followed it up one year later with “The Elephant In The Room: Deutsche Bank’s $75 Trillion In Derivatives Is 20 Times Greater Than German GDP.”
Then, last June, we asked the most pointed question yet: “Is Deutsche Bank The Next Lehman?” only this time it wasn’t just the bank’s gargantuan balance sheet risk shown below that was dominant…
…. but the fact that it impaired assets had finally started to trickle down through to the income statement, leading to loss after loss, management exit after exit, market rigging settlement after market rigging settlement, and all culminating ten days ago with the bank’s “titanic”, and record, €7 billion loss, surpassing the bank’s troubles even during the depths of the Global Financial Crisis.
Member of the Steering Committee of the Bilderberg Group & former Deutsche Bank CEO Josef Ackermann did an excellent job for his elite masters.
Back on December 11, I wrote a post titled Deutsche Bank: Something is Seriously Wrong. At the time, DB was trading in the low $24s, flirting with multi-year lows. I showed how the bank was seriously diverging (negatively) from the rest of the financial sector and I outlined some big time red flags on the chart. My takeaway at the time was that the long-term chart was suggesting further pain ahead. What a difference a month makes. Take a look:
Just this morning, Deutsche Bank issued a profit warning, stating that it expects its first full-year loss since 2008. That sent the already battered stock tumbling 5.5%, breaking below it’s all-time low. Today it actually traded lower than during the depths of the financial crisis. Where there’s smoke there’s fire folks. As I stated in my previous post, “this chart suggests something very bad is going on under the surface at DB.” Here’s a daily chart for a closer inspection of today’s action:
Continue reading »
Following disappointing China PMI data and a collapse in US ISM Manufacturing imports data, the fact that The Baltic Dry Index has collapsed to fresh record lows will hardly be a surprise to many. However,as Deutsche Bank warns, a “perfect storm” is brewing in the dry bulk industry, as year-end improvements in rates failed to materialize, which indicates a looming surge in bankruptcies.
At 468, The Baltic Dry Index is now at a new record low…
And US Manufacturing imports suggest things are getting worse, not better…
Continue reading »
As we put it a few days ago while mocking Saudi Arabia’s attitude toward “collateral damage” from its bombing runs in Yemen, “you can’t make an omelette without breaking a few eggs.” Well, over at Deutsche Bank, John Cryan has been busy crushing whole cartons worth.
From sweeping job cuts, to reorganizations, to eliminating the dividend, Cryan has been a veritable wrecking ball since taking the helm from co-CEOs Anshu Jain (who is gone) and Jürgen Fitschen (who is leaving).
Deutsche Bank is going through a painful restructuring that began with the ouster of co-CEOs Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen and culminated in new CEO John Cryan’s move to eliminate a quarter of the workforce, or some 23,000 people. Well don’t look now, but just moments ago, Europe’s biggest bank eliminated the dividend.
H/t reader squodgy:
“Terrible Grammar & Spelling, but the essence of this reality check article is profound.”
An article circulating on the internet and entitled, “When will the Bank Bubble Burst” makes some good points about the lurking catastrophe of world markets.
Egon von Greyerz writes about an recent that took place at Deutsche Bank (DB), where a junior employee “paid $6 billion to a hedge fund which was the gross value of a position, [where] he should have paid the net.” Continue reading »
Is something about to happen in Germany that will shake the entire world? According to disturbing new intel that I have received, a major financial event in Germany could be imminent. Now when I say imminent, I do not mean to suggest that it will happen tomorrow. But I do believe that we have entered a season of time when another “Lehman Brothers moment” may occur. Most observers tend to regard Germany as the strong hub that is holding the rest of Europe together economically, but the truth is that serious trouble is brewing under the surface. As I write this, the German DAX stock index is down close to 20 percent from the all-time high that was set back in April, and there are lots of signs of turmoil at Germany’s largest bank. There are very few banks in the world that are more prestigious or more influential than Deutsche Bank, and it has been making headlines for all of the wrong reasons recently. Continue reading »
Deutsche Bank has witnessed an exodus of executives this year in what’s been a tough stretch for the German lender. Here’s a brief recap of the bank’s recent trials and travails for those who need a refresher:
The bank, which has paid out more than $9 billion over the past three years alone to settle legacy litigation, has become something of a poster child for corrupt corporate culture.
In April, Deutsche settled rate rigging charges with the DoJ for $2.5 billion (or about $25,474 per employee) and subsequently paid $55 million to the SEC (an agency that’s been run by former Deutsche Bank employees and their close associates for years) in connection with allegations it deliberately mismarked its crisis-era LSS book to the tune of at least $5 billion.
Continue reading »
– Deutsche Bank “Loses” LIBOR Chat Records; Will Try Hard To Find Them (ZeroHedge, July 31, 2015):
Back in April, Deutsche Bank agreed to pay $2.5 billion (or around $25,475 per employee) to the DoJ, the CFTC, the NY Department for Financial Services, and the UK’s FCA in connection with the bank’s role in the global conspiracy to rig LIBOR (and EURIBOR, and TIBOR, but who’s counting). The fine marked the largest LIBOR-related settlement thus far but as usual, regulators stopped short of insisting that the actual human beings responsible for the manipulation of a benchmark upon which trillions in financial assets are based be put behind bars. In other words, no people were held accountable.
That said, we got a faint glimmer of hope on the accountability front when, late last month, FT reported that the German financial watchdog BaFin was looking into whether (former) co-CEO Anshu Jain lied to the Bundesbank about when he first learned that his traders and submitters might have been involved in fixing the LIBOR fixes. Continue reading »
– Deutsche Bank Stunner: An Inside Look At Former CEO’s Role In Liborgate (ZeroHedge, July 16, 2015):
“Mr. Jain created an environment by the physical and functional restructuring of the business GFFX division in the year 2005, involving also a change in the seating order of the trading floor in London which he initiated in which conflicts of interest between traders and submitters arose or were strengthened. There is suspicion that Mr. Jain might have knowingly made incorrect statements in his IBOR related Interview with the Deutsche Bundesbank.”…
– Exclusive: The Inside Story Of How Deutsche Bank “Deals With” Whistleblowers (ZeroHedge, July 14, 2015):
Back in May we brought you “The Real Story Behind Deutsche Bank’s Latest Book Cooking Settlement,” in which we detailed the circumstances that led the bank to settle claims it mismarked its crisis-era derivatives book to the tune of at least $5 billion.
Deutsche Bank settled the issue with the SEC for the laughable sum of $55 million a few months back.
The SEC inquiry was prompted, in part, by Dr. Eric Ben-Artzi who was fired from Deutsche Bank in 2011 after expressing his concerns about the bank’s valuation methodology.
What follows is the real, play-by-play account of Ben-Artzi’s dismissal from Deutsche Bank, told in its entirety for the first time. Continue reading »
– Is Deutsche Bank The Next Lehman? ( NotQuant, June 11, 2015):
Looking back at the Lehman Brothers collapse of 2008, it’s amazing how quickly it all happened. In hindsight there were a few early-warning signs, but the true scale of the disaster publicly unfolded only in the final moments before it became apparent that Lehman was doomed.
First, for purposes of drawing a parallel, let’s re-cap the events of 2007-2008: Continue reading »
From the article:
“So guy drives a car which costs more than most Americans will make in a decade (pretax), crashes in what may have been an improvised drag race, kills an innocent bystander, and promptly posts bail and is allowed to roam, and drive, in freedom.
Meanwhile Nav Sarao rots in the UK’s worst prison unable to pay his ridiculous $5 million bail, for the simple reason that he was a good trader and dared to expose the HFTs’ rigging to regulators. He faces a maximum sentence of 380 years in jail.”
– Deutsche Bank Head Of Asia-Pac Equities Loses Control Of His $580,000 Ferrari, Kills Innocent Bystander (ZeroHedge, June 10, 2015):
Police said the arrested driver, whom it identified only as James, had said he lost control of his car. The police said a 53-year-old man, who was next to the barriers, died after suffering serious head and shoulder injuries. He was pronounced dead in the hospital early in the afternoon.
The Apple Daily newspaper also identified the driver as Ebert and said he was driving a black, HK$4.5 million ($580,502) Ferrari 458 Spider, which was in collision with a HK$2.4 million Maserati at the car park entrance before hitting a security guard. Continue reading »
– Deutsche Bank Offices Raided By Authorities (ZeroHedge, June 9, 2015):
Just two days after Deutsche Bank co-CEOs Anshu Jain and Jürgen Fitschen announced their resignations, the bank’s offices in Germany, France, and the UK have been searched by authorities.
- DEUTSCHE BANK HQ SEARCHED BY AUTHORITIES THIS MORNING: CNBC
- DEUTSCHE BANK SAYS SEARCH RELATED TO SECURITY DEALS BY CLIENTS
- DEUTSCHE BANK SITES IN FRANKFURT, LONDON, PARIS SEARCHED: BILD
Deutsche says the searches are related to “security deals by clients” and apparently do not involve allegations of wrogndoing by the employees.
– “The Fed Has Been Horribly Wrong” Deutsche Bank Admits, Dares To Ask If Yellen Is Planning A Housing Market Crash (ZeroHedge, May 31, 2015):
When the “very serious people” start to admit that the entire house of cards was held together with nothing but bullshit and propaganda, it may be a time to panic…
– SEC Commissioner Furious At Deutsche Bank’s “Decade Of Lying, Cheating, And Stealing” (ZeroHedge, May 5, 2015):
“Deutsche Bank’s illegal conduct involved nearly a decade of lying, cheating, and stealing. This criminal conduct was pervasive and widespread, involving dozens of employees from Deutsche Bank offices including New York, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and London. Deutsche Bank’s traders engaged in a brazen scheme to defraud Deutsche Bank’s counterparties and the worldwide financial marketplace by secretly manipulating LIBOR. The conduct is appalling. It was a complete criminal fraud upon the worldwide marketplace.”
– SEC Commissioner Kara Stein
From the article:
“Under scrutiny are Bank of Nova Scotia , Barclays PLC, Credit Suisse Group AG , Deutsche Bank AG , Goldman Sachs Group Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Société Générale SA, Standard Bank Group Ltd. and UBS AG , according to one of the people close to the investigation.”
– Ten Banks, Including JPM, Goldman, Deutsche, Barclays, SocGen And UBS, Probed For Gold Rigging (ZeroHedge, Feb 23, 2015):
No matter how many times the big banks are caught red-handed manipulating precious metals, some failed former Deutsche Bank prop-trader (you know who you are) will take a vociferous stand based on ad hominem attacks and zero facts that no, what you see in front of you is not precious metal rigging at all but a one-off event that has nothing to do with a criminal banking syndicate hell bent on taking advantage of anyone who is naive and dumb enough to still believe in fair and efficient markets. Continue reading »
– Greece: The Big Picture Update, And Why Deutsche Bank Thinks Europe Will Fold (ZeroHedge, Feb 5, 2015):
The Greek situation summaries Greece by Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos have consistently been among the best in the entire sellside. His latest Greek update, which is a must read for anyone who hasn’t been following the fluid developments out of southeast Europe, which fluctuate not on an hourly but on a minute basis, does not disappoint.
But while his summary of events is great, what is of far greater significance is his conclusion, namely that ultimately Europe will fold: “we consider the most likely outcome to be a Eurogroup offer of a new Third program” and “given that the current program expires this February the offer to negotiate a new Third program may provide political room for the government to sit on the negotiating table. At the same time such an offer is very likely to be attached to strict conditions, with the willingness to accommodate t-bill issuance an open question. Developments overnight suggest that this has become less likely, imposing maximum pressure on the government to reach agreement within a matter of weeks.” Continue reading »
– S&P Downgrades Numerous European Banks, Warns Deutsche Bank May Be Next (ZeroHedge, Feb 3, 2015):
Just hours after apparently settling its suit with the USA (not at all retaliation for downgrading them), S&P has taken the big red marker out on a slew of European banks:
- Downgrades: Credit Suisse, Barclays, Lloyds, Bank of Scotland, RBS, HSBC, and Ulster Bank
- On Watch Negative: Raiffeisen Zentralbank, MBank, Unicredit, Commerzbank, and Deutsche Bank
The driver of the shift in perspective is the apparent removal of the ‘bailout put’, as the prospect of “extraordinary government support” appeared less likely under recently passed bail-in legislation.
– Deutsche, Interactive Brokers, Barclays Lost Hundreds Of Millions Due To Swiss Franc Volatility (ZeroHedge, Jan 16, 2015):
Yesterday, in the aftermath of the Swiss shocker, we tweeted what was quite obvious to anyone who realized that speculators were most short the CHF since the summer of 2013:
The SNB just blew up countless macro hedge funds
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) January 15, 2015
We have yet to find out just which hedge funds were blown up yesterday, but we already do know that numerous retail FX brokers did get blown up and as reported earlier, the largest retail broker FXCM is trading down 90% in the pre-market.And now, thanks to Dow Jones, we start to learn just how much pain the bank themselves suffered: Continue reading »
As we explained over the weekend, should the Swiss gold referendum pass successfully, the price of gold will surge. It was none other than JPM who warned that the “markets under appreciate this event”, explaing that “If the referendum is passed, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) will be forced to increase reserves by around 1,500 tonnes over five years, i.e. 300 tonnes per year. This 300 tonnes per year accounts for 7.5% of annual gold demand of 4,000 tonnes per year.”
Well, even as the SNB has been scrambling to make the referendum seem like a non-event, with very little chance of passing, moments ago Deutsche Bank released a piece that roundly refuted everything the Swiss Central Bank has been peddling. To wit, here is a note just out from DB’s Robin Winkler: Continue reading »
– Another Deutsche Banker And Former SEC Enforcement Attorney Commits Suicide (ZeroHedge, Oct 25, 2014):
Back on January 26, a 58-year-old former senior executive at German investment bank behemoth Deutsche Bank, William Broeksmit, was found dead after hanging himself at his London home, and with that, set off an unprecedented series of banker suicides throughout the year which included former Fed officials and numerous JPMorgan traders.
Following a brief late summer spell in which there was little if any news of bankers taking their lives, as reported previously, the banker suicides returned with a bang when none other than the hedge fund partner of infamous former IMF head Dominique Strauss-Khan, Thierry Leyne, a French-Israeli entrepreneur, was found dead after jumping off the 23rd floor of one of the Yoo towers, a prestigious residential complex in Tel Aviv. Continue reading »
– Handelsblatt: “Four German Banks On The Brink” (ZeroHedge, Oct 17, 2014):
Several days ago we were confused why, out of the blue, a €1 billion loan BWIC appeared that was dumping German non-performing loans. After all, the whole point of the European “recovery” fable to date has been to deflect all the attention from the “pristine” German banks, up to an including world-record derivatives juggernaut Deutsche Bank, and to focus on Greece and other insolvent peripheral European nation. Earlier today, German Handelsblatt provided an answer, when it reported that “four German banks are on the brink”, i.e., four banks of which three are known, HSH Nordbank, IKB and MunchenerHyp, will likely fail the ECB’s stress test whose results are due to be announced next Friday.
Keep in mind that this is a significant fraction of the 24 German banks that are undergoing the ECB’s Stress farce test. So one wonders: if one in six German banks is so unsafe even the ECB (which kept Cypriot banks going well past their insolvency) will give them a black stamp (because in Europe failing a bank stress test is first of all impossible since both Bankia and Dexia passed theirs with flying cololrs, but more importantly a death sentence), what does that leave for the rest of Europe’s banks, all of which are in far more dire shape than sleepy Germany?
– Deutsche Bank: The Bubble Must Go On To Sustain The “Current Global Financial System” (ZeroHedge, Sep 10, 2014):
When all is said and done, it all basically boils down to this: from Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid.
The bubble probably needs to continue in order to sustain the current global financial system and the necessary future deleveraging. However with yields moving ever lower in many parts of the world in recent times, partly due to weak growth, and with debt levels still moving higher, the chances are that most government bondholders are unlikely to achieve a positive real return over the medium to long-term from this starting point. Inflation or even the risk of sovereign restructuring will likely prevent this.
So there you have it: either the bubble goes on, or the “current global financial system” gets it. Continue reading »
– Deutsche Bank “Raises The Warning Flag”: What The Most Important Chart For The Market Reveals (ZeroHedge, Aug, 4, 2014):
“The risk sell-off we’ve seen in recent weeks frustrates us a little as the chart we’ve published most this year has pretty much predicted that tougher times would come around July. We’ve been paying it a lot of attention for over a year now but decided to wait until the autumn before we raised the warning flags. The chart in question (included in today’s pdf) is the one showing the Fed balance sheet and the S&P 500 (as a proxy for risk generally). As you can see, since the Fed balance sheet was used as an aggressive policy tool post-GFC, the graph suggests that the S&P 500 is well correlated with the size of the Fed balance sheet… This is important as virtually all of the mega rally in the last 5 years has come in the Fed balance sheet expansion periods.” – Deutsche Bank
– Frontrunning: July 23 (ZeroHedge, July 23, 2014):
- Here come the gates which we predicted in 2010: SEC Is Set to Approve Money-Fund Rules (WSJ)
- Dick’s cuts 400 jobs as golf now less popular (MW)
- Kerry arrives in Israel, pushes for peace (Reuters) (Sure!)
- Pay Penalty Haunts Recession Grads as U.S. Economy Mends (BBG)
- Appeals Courts Issue Conflicting Rulings on Health-Law Subsidies (WSJ)
- Rebel Stronghold Donetsk Holds Breath as Shellfire Mounts (BBG)
- Business executive wins Georgia Republican runoff in U.S. Senate race (Reuters)
- Five held in China food scandal probe, including head of Shanghai Husi Food (Reuters)
- Jobs Hold Sway Over Yellen-Carney as Central Banks Splinter (BBG)
Overnight Media Digest
* Two U.S. appeals courts issued conflicting rulings on subsidies for health coverage purchased on federal insurance exchanges, clouding a major part of Obama’s health law. (http://on.wsj.com/1pb81yo)
* The Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that Deutsche Bank AG’s U.S. operations suffer from a litany of serious financial reporting problems that the lender has known about for years but not fixed. (http://on.wsj.com/1jUoOXe) Continue reading »
Tags: Banking, Barack Obama, Blackstone, China, Chrysler, Deutsche Bank, Economy, EU, Europe, Gaza, Global News, Government, Hamas, Israel, John Kerry, JPMorgan, Microsoft, Money Market, Obama administration, Palestine, Palestinians, Politics, RBS, SEC, U.K., U.S.
From the article:
“As for Deutsche Bank’s response perhaps the simplest and most effective one would be for the Frankfurt megabank to tell the NY Fed that perhaps its own 150x leverage is just a little more worthy of attention.”
– NY Fed Slams Deutsche Bank (And Its €55 Trillion In Derivatives): Accuses It Of “Significant Operational Risk” (ZeroHedge, July 22, 2014):
First it was French BNP that was punished with a $9 billion legal fee after France refused to cancel the Mistral warship shipment to Russia (which promptly led to French National Bank head Christian Noyer to warn that the days of the USD as a reserve currency are numbered), and now moments ago, none other than the 150x-levered NY Fed tapped Angela Merkel on the shoulder with a polite reminder to vote “Yes” on the next, “Level-3” round of Russia sanctions when it revealed, via the WSJ, that “Deutsche Bank’s giant U.S. operations suffer from a litany of serious problems, including shoddy financial reporting, inadequate auditing and oversight and weak technology systems.”
What could possibly go wrong? Well… this. Recall that as we have shown for two years in a row, Deutsche has a total derivative exposure that amounts to €55 trillion or just about $75 trillion. That’s a trillion with a T, and is about 100 times greater than the €522 billion in deposits the bank has. It is also 5x greater than the GDP of Europe and more or less the same as the GDP of… the world.
In a letter to Deutsche Bank executives last December, a senior official with the New York Fed wrote that financial reports produced by some of the bank’s U.S. arms “are of low quality, inaccurate and unreliable. The size and breadth of errors strongly suggest that the firm’s entire U.S. regulatory reporting structure requires wide-ranging remedial action.”
The criticism from the New York Fed represents a sharp rebuke to one of the world’s biggest banks, and it comes at a time when federal regulators say they are increasingly focused on the health of overseas lenders with substantial U.S. operations.
The Dec. 11 letter, excerpts of which were reviewed by the Journal, said Deutsche Bank had made “no progress” at fixing previously identified problems. It said examiners found “material errors and poor data integrity” in its U.S. entities’ public filings, which are used by regulators, economists and investors to evaluate its operations.
The shortcomings amount to a “systemic breakdown” and “expose the firm to significant operational risk and misstated regulatory reports,” said the letter from Daniel Muccia, a New York Fed senior vice president responsible for supervising Deutsche Bank.
Deutsche Bank’s external auditor, KPMG LLP, also identified “deficiencies” in the way the bank’s U.S. entities were reporting financial data in 2013, according to a Deutsche Bank email reviewed by the Journal.
Oh wait, so those €55 trillion in derivatives are actually completely fabricated? Well if that doesn’t send the S&P 500 limit up nothing will.
DB’s response is the generic one already attempted by that other permacriminal bank, Barclays, which hired a few hundred compliance people after it was revealed that the British firm was manipulating and rigging pretty much every product and market it was involved in.
“We have been working diligently to further strengthen our systems and controls and are committed to being best in class,” a Deutsche Bank spokesman said Tuesday. As part of this, he said, the bank is spending €1 billion globally and appointing 1,300 people, including about 500 compliance, risk and technology employees in the U.S. Mr. Muccia declined to comment.
Sadly for now what this latest Pandora’s box means is that confidence in Europe’s insolvent banks just crashed with a bang once again, not that it would be reflected in the stock’s rigged price of course: rigged most likely by Deutsche Bank among other of course.
The New York Fed’s concerns also pose a challenge for Deutsche Bank’s longtime finance chief, Stefan Krause, who is ultimately responsible for the company’s financial figures and has been spearheading efforts to improve the quality of the bank’s reporting.
The concerns from regulators strike at the heart of an issue plaguing many of the world’s big banks: Some investors lack confidence in the integrity of their numbers. Such fears have been especially prevalent in Europe.
Then again, none of DB’s numbers actually matter: if the banks needs a bailout the Fed will promptly step in, and today’s advisory has one simple end point, which happens to be the same as the recent BNP $9 billion fine – don’t even dare to side with Putin over the US. Because you sure have big bank over there Germany… It would be a pity if the NY Fed i) revealed just how insolvent it truly was and ii) decided not to bail it out subsequently.
* * *
As for Deutsche Bank’s response perhaps the simplest and most effective one would be for the Frankfurt megabank to tell the NY Fed that perhaps its own 150x leverage is just a little more worthy of attention.