US Treasury Posts Gigantic $1.16 Trillion Shortfall in Fiscal 2017, Hilariously Points out “Where We Are Headed” — So Budget Deficits Will REALLY Go Vertical – Mnuchin’s Wife Says: Don’t Worry

US Treasury Posts Gigantic $1.16 Trillion Shortfall in Fiscal 2017, Hilariously Points out “Where We Are Headed”:

Just add tax cuts and ballooning expenditures. The media chose to silence the report to death.  

“If a tree fell in a forest and nobody heard it, did it really make a sound?” asks our favorite fiscal gadfly and Director of Research at Truth in Accounting, Bill Bergman, referring to the media coverage that the Treasury Department’s “Fiscal Year 2017 Financial Report of the U.S. Government” has received, which was, at the time he wrote it 24 hours after the February 15 release of the report: “Nothing. Zip. Scratch.”

“Where We Are Headed”

That $1.156 trillion in Net Operating Cost occurred in fiscal 2017. But these are the good times, the boom years, if you will, when shortfalls should shrink into oblivion. So what will happen to the shortfall when the economy slows down or goes into a recession? That was a rhetorical question.

For fiscal 2018 and going forward, the tax cuts will lower revenues by about $150 billion per year on average over the next ten years. And for fiscal 2018 and 2019, Congress passed the two-year budget resolution that will add about $150 billion on average per year to the outlays. Both combined will drive up the deficit by about $300 billion a year on average.

“Where We Are Headed” a chapter heading (pages 9 and 14) says. I can supply my own chart, based US Treasury data, to show exactly “where we are headed” in terms of the US gross national debt:

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Budget Deficits Will Really Go Vertical – Mnuchin’s Wife Says: Don’t Worry:

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com,

United States Secretary of Treasury Steven Mnuchin has a sweet gig.  He writes rubber checks to pay the nation’s bills.  Yet, somehow, the rubber checks don’t bounce.  Instead, like magic, they clear.

How this all works, considering the nation’s technically insolvent, we don’t quite understand.  But Mnuchin gets it.  He knows exactly how full faith and credit works – and he knows plenty more.

In fact, Mnuchin’s wife, Louise Linton, says she admires him because “he understands the economy.”  And Mnuchin, no doubt, admires Linton, a Scottish actress 18 years younger, because “she loves SoulCycle Snapchat filters that make people look like puppies and piglets.”  Naturally, Mnuchin gets the importance of puppy and piglet filters and how this bizarre fad fits into the big picture of the economy.

Unlike Mnuchin, we find the economy, and its infinite and dynamic relationships, to be beyond comprehension.  But that doesn’t deter us from attempting to make some sense of it each week.  When it comes to Snapchat filters we know nothing – and we could care less.  Still, who are we to question Snap Inc.’s $24 billion market capitalization?

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Debt Bubble surpasses 300% of Global GDP

Debt Bubble surpasses 300% of Global GDP:

Both developed and developing nations collaborated to achieve a new record of debt, but developed nations are the biggest offenders with 142 billion euros while developing nations added almost 51 billion euros.

The debt of households, companies, banks, and governments worldwide added up to a total of 193 billion euros at the end of 2017.

The figure represents a new record after increasing by 13.7 billion euros in the first nine months of last year, according to data compiled by the International Finance Institute (IIF).

The increase in global debt in absolute figures, in relation to world GDP reached 318% of global GDP, three percentage points below the historical maximum of 321% registered a year before.

H/t reader eric:

“Not long now I guess.”

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DANGER AHEAD FOR U.S. GOVT: Unable To Service Debt As Interest Rates Surge

DANGER AHEAD FOR U.S. GOVT: Unable To Service Debt As Interest Rates Surge:

The U.S. Government is in serious trouble when interest rates rise.  As interest rates rise, so will the amount of money the U.S. Government will have to pay out to service its rapidly rising debt.  Unfortunately, interest rates don’t have to increase all that much for the government’s interest expense to double.

According to the TreasuryDirect.gov website, which came back online after being down for nearly a month, reported that the average interest rate paid on U.S. Treasury Securities increased from 2.2% in November 2016 to 2.3% in December 2017.  While this does not seem like a significant change, every increase of 0.1% in the average interest rate, the U.S. Government has to pay an additional $20.5 billion in interest expense (based on the $20.5 trillion in total U.S. debt).

H/t reader squodgy:

“Somebody, somewhere knows the truth.
They will have prepared and have a bolthole.
Knowing when is essential.
We irrelevent serfs have no idea generally, but those who read I.U. have had enough pointers and warnings to know what’s going on.”

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Europe is sitting on a mountain of secret debt

Europe is sitting on a mountain of secret debt:

The 28 member states of the European Union (EU) have a total debt burden of €12.5 trillion, which could be even bigger, according to the latest figures from the EU statistics office, Eurostat.

Data shows that in the third quarter of 2017 the EU’s debt-to-GDP ratio fell from 82.9 percent to 82.5 percent when compared with the same quarter of the previous year. Greece’s general government-debt-to-GDP ratio was the highest in the eurozone, at 177.4 percent. It was followed by Italy (134.1 percent) and Portugal (130.8 percent).

Eurostat statistics are based on four broad categories of debt, which are guarantees issued by the state in relation to the liabilities of third parties. However, there are contingent liabilities which cannot be found in the official statistics. Those liabilities are not ‘hard’ debts but if even a small part of those guarantees was due to be repaid it would result in huge holes in the national budgets. This means there is accumulation of risks of which many are unaware.

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Trump Calls For $1.5 Trillion Infrastructure Plan

Trump Calls For $1.5 Trillion Infrastructure Plan:

President Donald Trump was widely expected to discuss his long-anticipated infrastructure plan tonight, particularly since the White House leaked an outline for a plan to generate $1 trillion in spending through public-private partnerships. Tonight, Trump unveiled an even more ambitious sum, requesting Congress present an infrastructure bill for $1.5 trillion to rebuild America’s roads, airports and rails.

Lamenting that it can take up to 10 years for a permit to be approved to build a simple road Trump demanded that the infrastructure plan also clear away the red tape surrounding the permitting process.

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Debt Bubble surpasses 300% of Global GDP

Debt Bubble surpasses 300% of Global GDP:

Both developed and developing nations collaborated to achieve a new record of debt, but developed nations are the biggest offenders with 142 billion euros while developing nations added almost 51 billion euros.

The debt of households, companies, banks, and governments worldwide added up to a total of 193 billion euros at the end of 2017.

The figure represents a new record after increasing by 13.7 billion euros in the first nine months of last year, according to data compiled by the International Finance Institute (IIF).

The increase in global debt in absolute figures, in relation to world GDP reached 318% of global GDP, three percentage points below the historical maximum of 321% registered a year before.

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World Debt Is Rising Nearly Three Times As Fast As Total Global Wealth

A totally sustainable development if you believe your politicians and central banksters.

World Debt Is Rising Nearly Three Times As Fast As Total Global Wealth:

Some nasty dark clouds are forming on the financial horizon as total world debt is increasing nearly three times as fast as total global wealth. But, that’s okay because no one cares about the debt, only the assets matter nowadays. You see, as long as debts are someone else’s problem, we can add as much debt as we like… or so the market believes.

H/t reader squodgy:

“With NK now ‘chatting’ with SK, Syria cooling down, all EU buying gas from Russia, and hotspots generally diffused, the PTB are getting desperate to smokescreen the economic collapse of the massive debt based world, and therefore must be working very hard to create the very big event that now seems inevitable.
Will it be a dirty bomb, pandemic release, or military attack?

It’s strange but if the climate cooling materialises, over one third of the population will either starve or freeze anyway.”

In my opinion, TPTB know all about the timeline of global cooling and the coming massive earth changes (“The 3 Days of Darkness”), which will incl. a pole shift, and they have everything carefully planned.

Financial collapse & hyperinflation, followed by all-out civil war and then WW3.

And exactly during WW3 the massive earth changes will set in, causing maximum damage among the worldwide population.

Related info:

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The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail

The Inescapable Reason Why the Financial System Will Fail:

Modern finance has many complex moving parts, and this complexity masks its inner simplicity.

Let’s break down the core dynamics of the current financial system.

The Core Dynamic of the “Recovery” and Asset Bubbles: Credit

Credit is the foundation of the current financial system, for credit enables consumers to bring consumption forward, that is, buy more stuff today than they could buy with the cash they have on hand, in exchange for promising to pay principal and interest with their future income.

Credit also enables speculators to buy more assets than they otherwise could were they limited to cash on hand.

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David Stockman Warns “Gold Is The Only Safe Asset Left” – “We Are Heading For A Thundering Collision In The Bond Market” (Video)

– David Stockman Warns “Gold Is The Only Safe Asset Left”:

Via Greg Hunter’s USA Watchdog blog,

Record high stock and bond prices are flashing danger signs to former Reagan White House Budget Director David Stockman.

Stockman contends,

I don’t think we are going to have a liquidity crisis.  I think it’s going to be a value reset.  I think there is going to be a jarring downward price adjustment both in the stock market and in the bond market.

 This phantom or phony wealth that has been created since the last crisis is going to basically evaporate.”

So, what asset is safe? Stockman says gold and goes onto explain,

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David Stockman: The Coming Fiscal Derailment—Why FY 2019 Will Sink The Casino

The Coming Fiscal Derailment—Why FY 2019 Will Sink The Casino:

By David Stockman

Since last November 8th the Russell 2000 has risen by 30% and the net Federal debt has expanded by an astounding $1.0 trillion dollars.

In a rational world operating with honest financial markets those two results would not be found in even remotely the same zip code; and especially not in month #102 of a tired economic expansion and at the inception of an epochal pivot by the Fed to QT (quantitative tightening) on a scale never before imagined.

And we do mean exactly those words. By next April the Fed will be shrinking its balance sheet at $360 billion annual rate and by $600 billion per year as of next October.

Altogether, the Fed’s balance is scheduled to contract by upwards $2 trillion by the end of 2020. And it’s apparently on a path that is so locked-in—-barring a recession—that Janet Yellen affirmed in her swan song that the Fed’s giant bond dumping program (euphemistically called “portfolio runoff”) would no longer even be mentioned in its post-meeting statements.

So the net of it is this: The Fed will sell more bonds in the next 3-4 years than had been accumulated by all of the central banks of the world in all of recorded history as of 1995!

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Peter Schiff Warns Of “Too Big To Pop” Bubble – “Everybody Is Going To Get Wiped Out!”

FYI.

Peter Schiff Warns Of “Too Big To Pop” Bubble – “Everybody Is Going To Get Wiped Out!”:

Money manager Peter Schiff correctly predicted the financial meltdown in 2008.

Now, 10 years later, what does Schiff see today?  Schiff says,

“I predicted a lot more than just the stock market going down back then.  I predicted the financial crisis, but more importantly, I predicted what the government would do as a result of the financial crisis and what the consequences of that would be because that’s where we’re headed. 

The real crash I wrote about in my most recent book is still coming…

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This Infographic Explains & Visualizes: – All the Money in the World – How Much the World is Worth – The Flow of Money During Financial Crisis – Net Worth of World’s Richest People – Net Worth of World’s Biggest Companies – The Liquidity Pyramid a.k.a. Exter’s Inverted Pyramid

This infographic explains & visualizes:

– All the Money in the World
– How Much the World is Worth
– The Flow of Money During Financial Crisis
– Net Worth of World’s Richest People
– Net Worth of World’s Biggest Companies
– The Liquidity Pyramid a.k.a. Exter’s Inverted Pyramid

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