Dec 01

Global Bonds Lose $1.7 Trillion In November, Worst Monthly Meltdown On Record:

Less than two months after Ray Dalio warned about a potential wipe out in the bond market, he has been proven right: the November surge in global yields has resulted in the worst monthly loss in the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Total Return Index, which lost 4% in November, a record drop, and equivalent to $.17 trillion in losses. The index’s market value fell $2.8 trillion over past two months.

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Dec 01

100 year Treasury bonds? You can’t make this stuff up!


Steven Mnuchin Roils Bond Markets With Suggestion Of 100 Year Treasury Bond:

Barely having confirmed he will be Donald Trump’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin proceeded to roil the bond market when the former Goldman banker told CNBC he would look at extending the maturity of future Treasury issuance, hinting at 50 and 100 Year bonds, which promptly sent long-term US bond yields surging by the most since the turmoil following Trump’s election victory.

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Nov 24

H/t reader squodgy:

“A somewhat aggressively compiled analysis of the financial mess.

Economics is neither art or science, but nothing more than theories based on possible human behaviour and response.

It has been interfered with and aggrandised as justification for tax regimes and policies, but, at the end of the day is nothing more than theoretical bullshit.”


Now it Begins to Unravel:

The Credit Bubble Peak was Marked by “Totally Crazy Lending.”

Debt is good. More debt is better. Funding consumer spending with debt is even better – that’s what economists have been preaching – because the consumed goods and services are gone after having been added to GDP, while the debt, which GDP ignores, remains until it is paid off with future earnings, or until it blows up.

Corporations too have gone on a borrowing binge. Unlike consumers, they have no intention of paying off their debts. They issue new debt and use the proceeds to pay off maturing debts. Funding share-buybacks and dividends with debt is ideal. It’s called “unlocking value.”

Debt must always grow. For that purpose, the Fed has manipulated interest rates to rock bottom. Actually paying off and reducing debt has the dreadful moniker, bandied about during the Financial Crisis, “deleveraging.” It’s synonymous with “The End of the World.” Continue reading »

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Nov 21

H/t reader squodgy:

“This is the first Chancellor to admit the country is in a terrible mess. Strange how the MSM let it fly under their radar. It isn’t just in a terrible mess, it is TOTALLY BANKRUPT, INSOLVENT and WORTHLESS.

Under Thatcher on instructions from the ‘elite’, the UK diversity was crushed, manufacturing decimated, agriculture ‘monocultured’, and national assets disposed of to foreign conglomerates. At that time North Sea Oil was carrying UK.

Now, no oil, no manufacturing, no agriculture. Just a greedy and corrupt Financial sector currently in a death spiral thanks to bad investment gambling when a slump was clearly on the horizon.

Fucking incompetence, bad management & treason.”

High treason, indeed.

At least they have applied the “best” policies to “jumpstart the (now almost non-existent) economy”

quantitative-easing


philip-hammond

UK economy faces uncertainty, limited by debt: Hammond:

UK finance minister Philip Hammond has warned that high debt has tied the government’s hands, in a time when the country needs a “watertight” economy to cope with years of “uncertainty” that lie ahead.

In an interview with the BBC on Sunday, Hammond said the country’s first budget plan since the vote to leave the European Union (EU) in July was constrained by “eye-wateringly” high debt and had to be carefully planned to minimize possible damages by Brexit.

“Over the next couple of years we are going to face some uncertainty over the economy,” he said, pointing to the difficult negotiations with the EU that, according to Prime Minister Theresa May, would take at least two years to complete.

Britain’s public debt hovers around £1.6 trillion, which equals 84 percent of the country’s economic output last year and is the highest over the past 50 years. Continue reading »

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Nov 21

FYI.


bear - bull

We Are Being Set Up For Higher Interest Rates, A Major Recession And A Giant Stock Market Crash:

Since Donald Trump’s victory on election night we have seen the worst bond crash in 15 years.  Global bond investors have seen trillions of dollars of wealth wiped out since November 8th, and analysts are warning of another tough week ahead.  The general consensus in the investing community is that a Trump administration will mean much higher inflation, and as a result investors are already starting to demand higher interest rates.  Unfortunately for all of us, history has shown that higher interest rates always cause an economic slowdown.  And this makes perfect sense, because economic activity naturally slows down when it becomes more expensive to borrow money.  The Obama administration had already set up the next president for a major recession anyway, but now this bond crash threatens to bring it on sooner rather than later.

For those that are not familiar with the bond market, when yields go up bond prices go down.  And when bond prices go down, that is bad news for economic growth. Continue reading »

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Nov 16

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $375 Billion In US Paper:

It is official: Trump or no Trump, foreign central banks, SWFs and virtually every other official institution in possession of US paper, and as of this month, private investors too, are liquidating their Treasury holdings at a record pace.

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Oct 30

“China’s Debt Has Grown $4.5 Trillion In Past 12 Months, More Than The US, Japan And Europe Combined”

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Oct 30

H/t reader squodgy:

“Brave Lady, and very logical. No more than ONE YEAR LEFT.
Of course, if the banksters hadn’t printed helicopter money, it would have been 2009, but hey, it’s anyone’s guess, and the real truth (rather than the newspeak) tells anyone with a modicum of common sense to keep preparing.”


How Much Time do we have Before the Next Economic Crisis?:

Not much time.

Since early July, the 30-year US Treasury Bond Price Index has plunged 8.3%. It’s now called “the rout” in longer-dated government bonds. One of the specters is rising inflation at a time of ultra-low yields.

What has become the number one predictor of a bear market in stocks over the past many decades? The US Treasury yield curve. It drives bank lending – which can strangle the economy. But this time, the risks are much higher, and the potential economic consequences steeper. Continue reading »

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Oct 18

It is becoming increasingly obvious that foreign central banks, sovereign wealth funds, reserve managers, and virtually every other official institution in possession of US paper, is liquidating their holdings at a very disturbing rate.


Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $346 Billion In US Paper:

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed’s update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $27.5 billion in one week, the biggest weekly drop since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial paper to $2.83 trillion, the lowest since 2012. One month later, we refresh this chart and find that in the latest weekly update, foreign central banks continued their relentless liquidation of US paper held in the Fed’s custody account, which tumbled by another $22.3 billion in the past week, pushing the total amount of custodial paper to $2.805 trillion, another fresh post-2012 low.

tsy-custody

Then today, in addition to the Fed’s custody data, we also got the latest monthly Treasury International Capital data, which showed that the troubling trend presented last one month ago, has accelerated. Recall that a month ago,  we reported that in the latest 12 months we have observed a not so stealthy, in fact quite massive $343 billion in Treasury selling by foreign central banks in the period July 2015- July 2016, something truly unprecedented in size and scope. Continue reading »

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Oct 18

China Injects Economy With A Quarter Trillion In Debt In One Month, But The Full Story Is Much Scarier

“From a growth rate perspective, the speed of credit expansion is alarming. The current pace of credit growth in China is realistically in a range between 19% and 20%, well above the reported official TSF growth of 12.4% and new loan growth of 13.0% in September. Relative to GDP, China’s credit-to-GDP ratio currently in a range from 260% to 275% of GDP as of September 2016″Barclays

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Oct 13

Deutsche Bank Sells Another $1.5 Billion In Debt At Junk Bond Terms

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Oct 10

H/t  reader Squodgy:

“Exactly as explained in John Perkins’ “More Confessions of an Economic Hit,an”, Brazil has succumbed to US pressure/bribery, ensuring the challenge to BRICS by the Rothschilds is real and delaying the death of the Petrodollar.

Putin must respond very carefully if he is to skirt around the already well established Russian tentacles of the Rothschild Empire and achieve ties with China, India & South Africa (which is also under economic Rothschild based attacks).

It does seem BRICS ls under serious economic attack by the institutions, and unless they act soon, the Rothschilds will indeed enslave us all.”


Can Russia Learn From Brazil’s Fate? — Paul Craig Roberts and Michael Hudson:

Can Russia Learn From Brazil’s Fate?

Paul Craig Roberts and Michael Hudson

William Engdahl recently explained how Washington used the corrupt Brazilian elite, which answers to Washington, to remove the duly elected President of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, for representing the Brazilian people rather than the interests of Washington. Unable to see through the propaganda of unproven charges, Brazilians acquiesced in the removal of their protector, thereby providing the world another example of the impotence of democracy. http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article45561.htm

Everyone should read Engdahl’s article. He reports that part of the attack on Rousseff stemmed from Brazil’s economic problems deliberately created by US credit rating agencies as part of Washington’s attack to down grade Brazilian debt, which set off an attack on the Brazilian currency. Continue reading »

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Sep 28

And again: Prepare for collapse.


Health Ranger issues international financial alert as Deutche Bank approaches catastrophic collapse… Trillions in debt exposure will burn through European banks like a raging firestorm:

Since 2008, I’ve been warning Natural News readers about the inevitable, mathematically unavoidable global debt collapse. For the last eight years, crooked politicians and criminal banksters have been “kicking the can down the road” with endless money printing and currency debasement. Now, it appears, we’ve all run out of road.

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Reader squodgy:

“Bad choice. I prefer the late Frank Zappa’s “THE MOTHERS OF INVENTION”…”

 

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Sep 20

chinese-money-public

The Bank For International Settlements Warns That A Major Debt Meltdown In China Is Imminent:

The pinnacle of the global financial system is warning that conditions are right for a “full-blown banking crisis” in China.  Since the last financial crisis, there has been a credit boom in China that is really unprecedented in world history.  At this point the total value of all outstanding loans in China has hit a grand total of more than 28 trillion dollars.  That is essentially equivalent to the commercial banking systems of the United States and Japan combined.  While it is true that government debt is under control in China, corporate debt is now 171 percent of GDP, and it is only a matter of time before that debt bubble horribly bursts.  The situation in China has already grown so dire that the Bank for International Settlements is sounding the alarm

A key gauge of credit vulnerability is now three times over the danger threshold and has continued to deteriorate, despite pledges by Chinese premier Li Keqiang to wean the economy off debt-driven growth before it is too late. Continue reading »

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Sep 20

US federal debt expanding at fastest rate since the crisis

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Sep 17

Foreign Central Banks Sell A Record $343 Billion In US Treasuries In The Last Year

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Sep 13

Sep 11, 2016

H/t reader squodgy.

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Sep 08

Eye on Social Mood: Stock Market Bubble Will Pop, Social Mood Will Get Extremely Ugly

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Sep 07

H/t reader squodgy:

“A very positive look at what we should expect with a collapsing economy and how to approach it positively…..”


07.09.2016

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Sep 06

For The First Time, Two European Non-Financial Companies Will Be Paid To Issue Debt:

Today was another historic day in the monetary twilight zone that is Europe, when two large European, non-financial companies were the first in history to be paid by investors to borrow, courtesy of the ECB’s corporate debt monetization program, which has unleashed an unprecedented scramble for frontrunning the central bank’s purchases of corporate debt and a historic collapse in bond spreads.

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Sep 01

Continue to prepare for collapse.


We’ve Reached the “Zero Point” of Debt Creation:

Hurtling toward a massive financial crisis.

Forty-five years and counting: We’ve been on a debt spree since the early 1970s when we went off the gold standard, covering every possible angle. Trade deficits, government deficits, unfunded entitlements, private debt – you name it! Our total debt has grown 2.5-times GDP since 1971.

How could economists not see this as a problem? How is this the least bit sustainable?

It isn’t. We’re hurtling toward a massive financial crisis, and all we have to show for it are financial asset bubbles destined to burst. And when they do, they’ll wipe out the artificial wealth they’ve created for many decades… in just a few years, as they did from late 1929 into late 1932!

The chart below shows the common-sense truth. Continue reading »

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Aug 31

America-The-Pig

America The Debt Pig: We Are A ‘Buy Now, Pay Later’ Society – And ‘Pay Later’ Is Rapidly Approaching:

If you really wanted to live like a millionaire, you could start doing it right now.  All you have to do is to apply for as many credit cards as possible and then begin running up credit card balances like there is no tomorrow.  At this point, I know what most of you are probably thinking.  You are probably thinking that such a lifestyle would not last for long and that a day of reckoning would eventually come, and you would be exactly right.  In fact, anyone that has ever had a tremendous amount of credit card debt knows how painful that day of reckoning can be.  To mindlessly run up credit card debt is exceedingly reckless, but unfortunately that is precisely what we have been doing as a nation as a whole.  We are a “buy now, pay later” society, and our national day of reckoning is approaching very, very quickly.

Often we like to focus on our exploding national debt, but household debt is out of control too.  In fact, the total amount of household debt in the United States is now up to a whopping 12.3 trillion dolllarsContinue reading »

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Aug 28

Obama_debt_star


Obama’s Parting Gift: $20 Trillion In Public Debt And A Rising Budget Deficit

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Aug 26

Published on Aug 25, 2016

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Aug 25

giant bubble

“Central Banks Now Own $25 Trillion Of Financial Assets”:

With 85% of Wall Street telling Citi they expect a “dovish hike signal” from Yellen tomorrow, which means a polite request for another BTFD opportunity, even if as BofA says “expectations for a dovish Fed are coinciding with macro strength in the US (most obviously in housing & consumer spending) as well as highest level of wage inflation since Jan’10“…

wage expectations

… here is a quick reminder of where we currently stand from BofA’s Michael Hartnett, from a brief note titled The Liquidity Supernova & the “Keynesian Put.”

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Risk assets are now supported by the new ”Keynesian Put”, the expectation that fiscal measures will be deployed to combat any renewed weakness in the economy/markets (independently of any larger political projects). But asset prices remain primarily supported by excess monetary abundance across the world: Continue reading »

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Aug 23

Mario-Draghi-laughing

Madness In Mario-World: European Companies Issue Debt Simply Because The ECB Will Buy That Debt:

Things are so absurd in the Eurozone that the ECB is buying private placement debt with little regard for safety. In turn, private equity companies issue debt simply because they know in advance the ECB will buy it. It’s a startling example of how the market is adapting to extremes of monetary policy, and it’s a safe conclusion the experiment will not end well.

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Aug 23

The ECB is still purchasing €80 BILLION of ‘bonds’ every month!


Mario-Draghi-Just-Evil

Revealed: ECB Secretly Hands Cash to Select Corporations:

In June, the ECB began buying the bonds of some of the most powerful companies in Europe as well as the European subsidiaries of foreign multinationals. This pushed the average yield on euro investment-grade corporate debt to 0.65%. Large quantities of highly rated corporate debt with shorter maturities are trading at negative yields, where brainwashed investors engage in the absurdity of paying for the privilege of lending money to corporations. By August 12, the ECB had handed out over €16 billion in freshly printed money in exchange for corporate bonds.

Throughout, the public was given to understand that the ECB was buying already-issued bonds trading in secondary markets. But the public has been fooled.

Now it has been revealed by The Wall Street Journal that the ECB has also secretly been buying bonds directly from companies, thus handing them directly its freshly printed money. Continue reading »

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Aug 19

Paul Singer Says “Everyone Is In The Dark”; Warns Of “Sudden, Intense Market Breakdown”:

“This is the biggest bond bubble in world history… Everyone is in the dark… the ultimate breakdown from this environment is likely to be surprising, sudden, intense, and large.”

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Aug 03

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Aug 02

Fitch Sees $3.8 Trillion Of Losses For “Investment-Grade” Sovereign Bond Investors:

Fitch finds that a reversion of rates to 2011 levels for $37.7 trillion worth of investment-grade sovereign bonds could drive market losses of as much as $3.8 trillion..

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