Jan 30

Mario-Draghi-Just-Evil

- AXA Investment Managaer Explains Why The ECB’s QE Has Already Failed Using “Widget Makers” (Zerohedge, Jan 29, 2015):

“People say, ‘Sell government bonds and lend money to widget manufacturers.’ It doesn’t really work like that.” Hayes says, adding that “Low yields don’t necessarily mean more lending to the real economy; time and confidence are key elements and last 6 years have shown QE can’t control those.” In short: it hasn’t even started and QE is already a complete failure. Good job central-planners.

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Jan 30

- It Will Now Cost You 0.5% To Save Money In Denmark: Danish Central Bank Cuts Rates For Third Time In Two Weeks (Zerohedge, Jan 29, 2015):

When the Danish Central Bank cut rates precisely a week ago, going from NIRP to NIRPer, and pushing the deposit rate from -0.2% to -0.35%, the sense of desperation was already in the air: after all this was already the second rate cut by the Denmark’s monetary authority in one week, all in the hope of preserving the peg to the DEK to the EUR. That sense of desperation just hit a fever pitch moments ago, when the Dutch central bank just went NIRPest, and cut rates across the board yet again, and made it even more costly to save money in the north European country, where the Deposit rate has just been cut from -0.35% to -0.5%!

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Jan 29

currency wars

- 2015 Currency Wars Year-To-Date Summary: 13 Rate Cuts, 5 Rate Hikes (Zerohedge, Jan 29, 2015):

For those keeping track of currency wars around the globe, 2015 – a year in which two central banks, those of Switzerland and Singapore have already admitted defeat, is shaping up as nothing short of historic. As DB’s summarizes: just about 31 countries have, in less than a month, eased in the form of 13 mostly “surprise” rate cuts, while just 5 have tightened monetary policy.

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Jan 29

- Now We ‘Know’ Greek Banks Are Really In Trouble (Zerohedge, Jan 28, 2015):

“When it gets serious, you have to lie,” were the infamous words of one J-C Juncker and today – following the 40-50% collapse in Greek Bank equity capital this week,ECB’s Bank Supervision boss Nouy has come out to calm everything down:

*NOUY SAYS GREEK BANKS ARE ‘PRETTY STRONG’,  HAVE STRENGTHENED THEIR BALANCE SHEETS
*ECB’S NOUY SAYS GREEK BANKS WILL SURVIVE CURRENT CRISIS

Which, translated for the elites means, “sell-sell-sell.” And then – just to add even more pressure, S&P puts Greece on Watch Negative.

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Jan 29

- Greek Credit Risk Spikes, Default Probability Tops 70% (Zerohedge, Jan 28, 2015):

Greek default risk has surged in recent days and today as it becomes clear what Syriza expects from Europe, short-term CDS are at post-crisis highs with 5Y CDS implying a 76% probability of default (based on standard recovery assumptions – which may be a little high in this case). Given the domestic bank dominance in the buying of domestic government debt, Greek banks are getting hammered as everyone’s favorite hedge fund trade is an utter bloodbath. Greek stocks overall are down and GGBs are tumbling once again – back at 16 month lows (given back all the ECBQE hope bounce). Perhaps not surprising moves, given new Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis reality-exposing comments yesterday, “the problem with the bailout is that it wasn’t really a bailout… it was an extend and pretend, it was a vicious cycle, a debt-deflationary trap, which destroyed our social economy.”

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Jan 28

greece

- Greek Stocks Crash, Bonds Plummet, Banks Have Worst Day Ever (ZeroHedge, Jan 28, 2015):

In the two days after Syriza’s dramatic victory in the local Greek election, global investors assumed this loud cry against European policies would mean… more of the same, and as a result not much changed in the risk assessment of Greek assets. Then, overnight, following the previous report that not only does Syriza mean business but it is actively pivoting away from Europe (and toward Russia?), and everyone started paying attention, with a waterfall of selling engulfing not only the Greek stock market but also its bonds, which are crashing in the process sending the 3 Year yield to 16.4%, the highest since the restructuring, and the 10 Year either below or above 10%, depending on which data source is used (Bloomberg has them slightly below, others reporting 10-year bond yields up 50 basis points at 10.30%).

For those who missed our take from last night on Greece, it can be found here, while Reuters’ update this morning notes the following: Continue reading »

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Jan 28


27.01.2015

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Jan 25

- Greek Deposit Outflows Soar In Run-Up To Syriza Victory (ZeroHedge, Jan 25, 2015):

Despite all the fear-mongering by Nea Demokratia (ND), Syriza’s victory over the incumbent is dramatically larger than expected (exit polls indicate a potential 12 point margin vs 7 point spreads in the run-up). However, as JPMorgan details, the fear-mongery was very evident in bank deposit runs as proxied outflows surge EUR8 billion last week – more than all of December and the rest of January combined

Via JPMorgan Flows & Liquidity

Greek deposit outflows rise sharply this week

The monthly Bank of Greece balance sheet data for the month of December revealed a significant increase in Greek bank ECB borrowing which rose by €11bn in December to €57bn (including €1bn of Emergency Liquidity Assistance). This is more than the €3bn deposit outflow reported for December. It is thus likely that Greek banks had to borrow even more in December to offset not only their lost deposits but likely reduced access to private repo markets, as it happened before during Greek crisis. Continue reading »

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Jan 25

- “Cheerful” Dutch Financier Becomes 4th ABN Amro Banker Suicide (ZeroHedge, Jan 24, 2015):

Following the deaths of 36 bankers last year, 2015 has got off to an inauspicious start with the reported suicide of Chris Van Eeghen – the 4th ABN Amro banker suicide in the last few years. As Quotenet reports, the death of Van Eghen  – the head of ABN’s corporate finance and capital markets -“startled” friends and colleagues as the 42-year-old “had a great reputation” at work, came from an “illustrious family,” and enjoyed national fame briefly as the boyfriend of a famous actress/model. As one colleague noted, “he was always cheerful, good mood, and apparently he had everything your heart desired. He never sat in the pit, never was down, so I was extremely surprised. I can not understand.”

As Niburu details, friends and colleagues were startled by the news that Chris van Eeghen had committed suicide.

He worked in Amsterdam for ABN / AMRO in the position of “head of syndicate and corporate finance markets.”

Chris Van Eeghen

Again, there is again a familiar pattern, namely that there is no indication that Van Eeghen had plans to take his life. Continue reading »

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Jan 24

hindenburg-burning

- When This Ends, Everybody Gets Hurt (Peak Prosperity, Jan 21, 2015):

It’s Already ‘Later’

My argument is that it’s already ‘later’. We’re living through the period of time when that dawning recognition of limits will finally burst over the horizon, shining a very bright spotlight on a frightening number of our global society’s unsustainable practices.

The most urgent of them all, as far as everyone reading this is concerned, is the very uncomfortable fact that it is our system of money that is most likely to break first and hardest because its very design demands endless growth, without which collapse ensues. Continue reading »

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Jan 23

- Holder To Use Asset Forfeiture Seizure to Go After Guns:

- SocGen Explains That Since The ECB’s QE Will Fail, It Will Need To Be Increased To €3 Trillion, Include Stocks:

“The potential amount of QE needed is €2-3 trillion! Hence for inflation to reach close to a 2.0% threshold medium term, the potential amount of asset purchases needed is €2-3tn, not a mere €1tn. Should the ECB target such an expansion of its balance sheet, it would have to ease some conditions on its bond purchases (liquidity rule, quality…) or contemplate other asset classes- equity stocks, Real Estate Investment Trust-(REIT), Exchange-traded fund (ETF)…- as the BoJ, previously.”

- BREAKING: Email Shows Gov. Nixon Ordered National Guard OUT OF FERGUSON Before Riots & Destruction

Ferguson Mayor James Knowles told local FOX 2 anchors late on Monday night, November 25, 2014, that he had repeatedly requested the National Guard during the rioting and looting… But his requests were ignored by state Democratic leaders.

- ‘US government was subverting entire US constitution’ – NSA whistleblower:

Award winning whistleblower William Binney says his new job is to make the US government honest, make them face the truth publically, and to prevent further violation of the rights which America has never intended to stand for.

Congress alarmed by plans to use Russian system to route 911 calls:

Plans to route 911 location calls via Russia’s GLONASS satellite system have sparked national security concerns among some members of Congress, despite assurances that its use will be limited and it will help save lives in emergencies.

- Jobless Claims Over 300k For 3rd Week, Spike In Shale States:

Not “unambiguously good” as Shale states see initial jobless claims spiking. Overall initial jobless claims missed expectations for the 4th week in a row, holding above 300k for the 3d week in a row (for the first time since July). At 307k, this week’s print is below last week’s but well above the 300k expectation. However, across TX, CO, ND, PA, and WV, initial claims (1 week lagged) rose to over 75k (from 30k in October)… “crisis has passed”?

Continue reading »

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Jan 23

- Drug money saved banks in global crisis, claims UN advisor (Guardian, Dec 13, 2009):

Drugs and crime chief says $352bn in criminal proceeds was effectively laundered by financial institutions

Drugs money worth billions of dollars kept the financial system afloat at the height of the global crisis, the United Nations’ drugs and crime tsar has told the Observer.

Antonio Maria Costa, head of the UN Office on Drugs and Crime, said he has seen evidence that the proceeds of organised crime were “the only liquid investment capital” available to some banks on the brink of collapse last year. He said that a majority of the $352bn (£216bn) of drugs profits was absorbed into the economic system as a result. Continue reading »

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Jan 22

Super Mario The Magician
Source


Mario-Draghi-Just-Evil

- Mario Draghi Unveils €60 Billion Per Month QE Through September 2016 With Partial Risk-Sharing: Live Conference Webcast (ZeroHedge, Jan 22, 2015):

From “whatever it takes” to OMT to “discussing” bond purchases, with European interest rates at record (incomprehensible) lows (apart from Greece) and EURUSD at 11-year lows (down 25 handles in the last 8 months), Mario Draghi looks set to unleash interventionist ‘hell’ on the investing public in Europe with EUR50 billion (plus plus) of ECB QE per month for as long as it takes.

Priced-in?

20150122_ECB

And then there’s this:

  • *MERKEL SAYS DEBT CRISIS ‘MORE OR LESS UNDER CONTROL,’ NOT OVER
  • *MERKEL SAYS ECB IS MAKING AN INDEPENDENT DECISION TODAY

Live Feed below (in case of error, here is a link to the source webcast): Continue reading »

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Jan 21

Related info:

- ECB’s Axel Weber: Bailouts Have Damaged Basis Of Euro Zone

Yes, but look who’s talking:

Bundesbank President Axel Weber has dished out €338 billion!!!

- Bankrupting Germany: German Bundesbank Financed ECB and National Central Banks With €338 Billion, ifo-Institute President Prof. Hans-Werner Sinn Stunned


euro-coin-cash

- EU has squandered last chance to make euro workable, warns Ex-Bundesbank chief (Telegraph, Jan 21, 2015):

Axel Weber says it is “hard to say” whether Europe would be in better shape today if the euro had never been launched, a tactful evasion understood as nostalgia for the stability of the D-Mark

The former head of the German Bundesbank has warned that the European Central Bank (ECB) will not succeed in raising inflation for years to come and is almost powerless to revive the fortunes of the eurozone on its own.

Axel Weber, now chairman of UBS and widely-regarded as Europe’s most influential private banker, said Europe’s leaders had squandered the chance to rebuild the eurozone’s foundations when the going was good and markets were calm. Continue reading »

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Jan 21

Chess
Endgame for central banks – no more tools, no more options. Pic: iStock

- Macro Digest: Endgame for central bankers (TradingFloor, Jan 19, 2015):

  • Why oh why do we trust central banks?
  • Central bankers are politicians’ puppets
  • This is endgame for the central banks

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Jan 20

1-Switzerland

- Swiss Shocker Triggers Gigantic Losses For Banks, Hedge Funds And Currency Traders (Economic Collapse, Jan 19, 2015):

The absolutely stunning decision by the Swiss National Bank to decouple from the euro has triggered billions of dollars worth of losses all over the globe.  Citigroup and Deutsche Bank both say that their losses were somewhere in the neighborhood of 150 million dollars, a major hedge fund that had 830 million dollars in assets at the end of December has been forced to shut down, and several major global currency trading firms have announced that they are now insolvent.   And these are just the losses that we know about so far.  It will be many months before the full scope of the financial devastation caused by the Swiss National Bank is fully revealed.  But of course the same thing could be said about the crash in the price of oil that we have witnessed in recent weeks.  These two “black swan events” have set financial dominoes in motion all over the globe.  At this point we can only guess how bad the financial devastation will ultimately be.

But everyone agrees that it will be bad.  For example, one financial expert at Boston University says that he believes the losses caused by the Swiss National Bank decision will be in the billions of dollars

The losses will be in the billions — they are still being tallied,” said Mark T. Williams, an executive-in-residence at Boston University specializing in risk management. “They will range from large banks, brokers, hedge funds, mutual funds to currency speculators. There will be ripple effects throughout the financial system.”

Continue reading »

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Jan 18

- The SNB’s Wake-Up Call: Keynesian Central Banking Is Destroying Money And Markets (David Stockman’s Contra Corner, Jan 17, 2015):

It seems everyone was short the franc (CHF) as a matter of taking monetarism at face value. In other words, it amounted to believing the central party line about the economy and normalcy despite the fact that markets have been increasingly pessimistic about it all and actively and aggressively betting against it. Goldman Sachs is just one of many: Continue reading »

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Jan 17

Bank-of-America

- Bank Of America Misses Revenue By $2 Billion As Trading Revenue Collapses; Fires Thousands (ZeroHedge, Jan 15, 2015)

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Jan 16

Deutsche, Interactive Brokers, Barclays Lost Hundreds Of Millions Due To Swiss Franc Volatility (ZeroHedge, Jan 16, 2015):

Yesterday, in the aftermath of the Swiss shocker, we tweeted what was quite obvious to anyone who realized that speculators were most short the CHF since the summer of 2013:

We have yet to find out just which hedge funds were blown up yesterday, but we already do know that numerous retail FX brokers did get blown up and as reported earlier, the largest retail broker FXCM is trading down 90% in the pre-market.And now, thanks to Dow Jones, we start to learn just how much pain the bank themselves suffered: Continue reading »

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Jan 16

Switzerland

- Peter Schiff: Swiss Surrender Wins Currency War (Euro Pacific Capital via ZeroHedge, Jan 15, 2015):

 By Peter Schiff

By ending its three year currency peg to the weakening euro Switzerland has become the first major economy to surrender in the international currency war, and in so doing has given a long-delayed victory to the Swiss people. Contrary to the indignant reaction by the media and financial establishment, the decision is not a disaster for Switzerland. A continuance of an open-ended peg to the euro could have ultimately ruined the country. Its surprise move, perhaps prompted by the European Central Bank’s recently announced intentions to unleash its own quantitative easing program, may be looked at in the future as the first significant counter-attack against our current global system of monetary insanity.
Continue reading »

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