Feb 10

Related info:

cashless economy

Something Very Disturbing Spotted In A Morgan Stanley Presentation


JPM’s Striking Forecast: ECB Could Cut Rates To -4.5%; BOJ To -3.45%; Fed To -1.3%:

JPM estimates that if the ECB just focused on reserves equivalent to 2% of gross domestic product it could slice the rate it charges on bank deposits to minus 4.5%. In Japan, JPM calculates that the BOJ could go as low as -3.45% while Sweden’s is likely -3.27%. Finally, if and when the Fed joins the monetary twilight race, it could cut to -1.3% and the Bank of England to -2.69%.

 

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Feb 10

cashless economy

Something Very Disturbing Spotted In A Morgan Stanley Presentation:

With central bankers losing credibility left and right, and failing outright to boost the “wealth effect” no matter what they throw at it, the next big question is when will central planners around the world unveil the cashless society which is a necessary and sufficient condition to a regime of global NIRP.

And while in recent days we have seen op-eds by both Bloomberg and FT urging the banning of cash, the most disturbing development we have seen yet in the push for a cashless society has come from the following slide in a Morgan Stanley presentation, one in which the bank’s head of EMEA equity research Huw van Steenis, pointed out the following… Continue reading »

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Feb 10

Deutsche Bank Spikes Most In 5 Years (Just Like Lehman Did):

Rumors of ECB monetization (which would be highly problematic in the new “bail-in” world) and old news of the emergency debt-buyback plan have sparked an epic ramp in Deutsche Bank’s stock this morning (+11% – the most since Oct 2011). This extreme volatility is, however, eerily reminiscent of 2007/8 when headline hockey sparked pumps and dumps on a daily basis in Lehman stock… until it was all over.

“Deutsche Bank is fixed”?

Deutsche Bank-1

Or is it?

Deutsche Bank-Lehman-Brotheres-Chart

Things are already fading…

Deutsche Bank-Stock-Chart

We suspect every bounce will be met by opportunistic selling as an inverted CDS curve has seldom if ever reverted back to life.

 

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Feb 10

Economics Professor: Negative Interest Rates Aimed at Driving Small Banks Out of Business and Eliminating Cash:

More than one-fifth of the world’s total GDP is in countries which have imposed negative interest rates, including Japan, the EU, Denmark, Switzerland and Sweden.

Negative interest rates are spreading worldwide.

And yet negative interest rates – supposed to help economies recover – haven’t prevented Japan and Europe’s economies from absolutely tanking.

Nor have they even stimulated spending. As ValueWalk points out: Continue reading »

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Feb 10

Continue to prepare for (total) collapse.


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Feb 10

So a rumor made Deutsche Bank rise as much as 15% in the early hours, closing at +10,20%.

Happy trading!


European Banks Soar On Rumor ECB May Monetize Bank Stocks; Japan Crash Continues:

While algos patiently await the only thing that matters for US stocks today which is Janet Yellen’s testimony before Congress. expected to be released at 8:30 am (and previewed here), the rest of the world this morning is a hot mess of schizophrenic highs and lows.

 

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Feb 09

Europe-Lightning

Day Of Reckoning: The Collapse Of The Too Big To Fail Banks In Europe Is Here:

There is so much chaos going on that I don’t even know where to start.  For a very long time I have been warning my readers that a major banking collapse was coming to Europe, and now it is finally unfolding.  Let’s start with Deutsche Bank.  The stock of the most important bank in the “strongest economy in Europe” plunged another 8 percent on Monday, and it is now hovering just above the all-time record low that was set during the last financial crisis.  Overall, the stock price is now down a staggering 36 percent since 2016 began, and Deutsche Bank credit default swaps are going parabolic.  Of course my readers were alerted to major problems at Deutsche Bank all the way back in September, and now the endgame is playing out.  In addition to Deutsche Bank, the list of other “too big to fail” banks in Europe that appear to be in very serious trouble includes Commerzbank, Credit Suisse, HSBC and BNP Paribas.  Just about every major bank in Italy could fall on that list as well, and Greek bank stocks lost close to a quarter of their value on Monday alone.  Financial Armageddon has come to Europe, and the entire planet is going to feel the pain. Continue reading »

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Feb 09

“I Don’t Trust Deutsche Bank” David Stockman Unleashes Truth Bomb: “When The Crunch Comes, Bank CEOs Lie”:

Following this morning’s proclamation by Deutsche Bank co-CEO John Cryan that Germany’s largest bank is “rock solid,” David Stockman exposed the ugly truth that everyone appears to have forgotten from just 7 years ago…

“in my experience is that when the crunch comes, bank CEOs lie”

Stockman details the Morgan Stanley, BofA, Lehman, and Bear Stearns bullshit that occurred before exclaiming…

I don’t trust Deutsche Bank. I don’t trust what they’re saying. And there’s reason why the banks are being sold all across the world… because people are realizing once again that we don’t know what’s there [on bank balance sheets].”

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Feb 09

Former Fed President Demands Negative Rates To Combat “Terrible” Fiscal Policy:

Narayana Kocherlakota is a funny guy.

Before abdicating his post at the Minneapolis Fed to former Goldmanite/TARP architect Neel Kashkari, Kocherlakota was the voice of Keynesian “reason” for the FOMC.

Although his pronouncements never measured up to the power of the Bullard, Kocherlakota did call on a number of occasions for MOAR dovishness, noting that if the US economy were to decelerate (which it has), more asset purchases may be warranted. Continue reading »

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Feb 09

Flashback:

Quotes from the Great Depression


German Finance Minister Joins DB CEO, Says “Not Worried About Deutsche Bank”:

With Deutsche Bank credit risk exploding and stock price collapsing to record lows, despite the CEO’s “rock solid” affirmations, there is only one way to know just how real a crisis this is… when government officials issue ‘denials’.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble says he isn’t worried about Deutsche Bank.

“No, I have no concerns about Deutsche Bank,” Schaeuble says Continue reading »

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Feb 09

Deutsche Bank Stock Crashes To Record Low:

Moments ago, in response to DB’s open querry on Twitter whether the Dax is “overreacting”, we highlighted DB’s soaring CDS and asked if perhaps the market was not underreacting.

Minutes later the market opined, by sending DB stock to new all time lows.

“Worse than Lehman…”

Deutsche Bank Record Low

And that has crushed the entire Geman stock market…

Continue reading »

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Feb 09

One could make a case that everything is just a “liquidity problem”.


trader hand on face

Deutsche Bank Is Scared: “What Needs To Be Done” In Its Own Words:

So back to the  original question WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE. Simple?  Recognize the problem. It is not oil, it is not in the banks..it is a run on central bank liquidity, especially dollar based and there needs to be much more ($) liquidity…. Cash shd be charged interest — put the micro chip in large denom notes/tax cash withdrawals.. encourage spending not saving.Continue reading »

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Feb 09

“Absolutely rock solid?” …

DB Derivatives in context

… like the molten granite found below the foundations of the Twin Towers?

Huge caverns of melted granite were found below the foundations of the Twin Towers


Deutsche Bank Selling Resumes After CEO Assures Employees Bank Is “Absolutely Rock Solid”:

Yesterday’s desperate scramble by Deutsche Bank to comfort markets about its liquidity position worked, for about three hours. And then, the bank which really should just keep its mouth shut, did the opposite and reminded an already panicked market just how “serious” things are, in the parlance of Jean-Claude Junkcer, when in an internal memo, the CEO assured his workers that:

  • DEUTSCHE BANK CEO: CAP STRENGTH, RISK POSITIONS ’ROCK SOLID’

That was the good news. The bad news:

  • DEUTSCHE BANK TO INFORM STAFF IN COMING WEEKS ABOUT COST CUTS

Here is the full note released from DB CEO Cryan: Continue reading »

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Feb 09

Legendary Investor Jim Rogers Warns: “Most People Are Going To Suffer The Next Time Around”:

Back in the 1970’s as recession gripped the world for a decade, stocks stagnated and commodities crashed, investor Jim Rogers made a fortune. His understanding of markets, capital flows and timing is legendary.

As crisis struck in late 2008, he did it again, often recommending gold and silver to those looking for wealth preservation strategies – move that would have paid of multi-fold when precious metals hit all time highs in 2011. He warned that the crash would lead to massive job losses, dependence on government bailouts, and unprecedented central bank printing on a global scale.

Now, Rogers says that investors around the world are realizing that the jig is up. Stocks are over bloated and central banks will have little choice but to take action again. But this time, says Rogers in his latest interview with CrushTheStreet.com, there will be no stopping it and people all over the world are going to feel the pain, including in China and the United States.

We’re all going to suffer… I can think of very few places that won’t suffer. But most people are going to suffer the next time around.

Central banks will panic. They will do whatever they can to save the markets. Continue reading »

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Feb 09

A Confused Deutsche Bank Takes To Twitter Seeking Answers For Market Crash:

Just when we said DB should probably keep its mouth shut, the bank that everyone is suddenly very focused on decided to take to Twitter with the following rhetorical question:

Well, judging by this…

Deutsche-Bank-CDS

… the markets are probably underreacting.

Wait until this blows up …

DB Derivatives in context

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Feb 09

After Crashing, Deutsche Bank Is Forced To Issue Statement Defending Its Liquidity:

The echoes of both Bear and Lehman are growing louder with every passing day.

Just hours after Deutsche Bank stock crashed by 10% to levels not seen since the financial crisis, the German behemoth with over $50 trillion in gross notional derivative found itself in the very deja vuish, not to mention unpleasant, situation of having to defend its liquidity and specifically assuring investors that it has enough cash (about €1 billion in 2016 payment capacity), to pay the €350 million in maturing Tier 1 coupons due in April, which among many other reasons have seen billions in value wiped out from both DB’s stock price and its contingent convertible bonds which are looking increasingly more like equity with every passing day.

DB did not stop there, but also laid out that for 2017 it was about €4.3BN in payment capacity, however before the impact of 2016 results, which if recent record loss history is any indication, will severely reduce the full cash capacity of the German bank.

From the just issued press release: Continue reading »

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Feb 08

After The European Bank Bloodbath, Is Canada Next?

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Feb 08

Europe Closes “On The Lows”: Deutsche Bank Plunges 11% To 7 Year Lows:

BTFD? Deutsche Bank stock crashed over 11% today (the most since July 2009) to its lowest since January 2009 record lows. We have detailed at length why this is a major systemic problem and we wonder how anyone can view this chart and not question their full faith in central planners engineering of the ‘recovery’. Nothing is fixed and it’s starting to become very obvious!

Does this look like a buying opportunity? At EUR13.465 today, DB is within pennies of the all-time record lows of EUR13.385…

20160208_DB Continue reading »

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Feb 08

European Bank Bloodbath Crashes Bond, Stock Markets:

Just as we warned, not only is it time to panic but the panic is ‘contagion’-ing over into the sovereign risk market. European banks are in freefall, down over 4.3% broadly, crashing to 2012’s “whatever it takes” lows.

European bank risk has gone vertical… Today’s spike is the largest since April 2010

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Feb 07

Venezuela Prepares To Liquidate Its Remaining Gold Holdings To Pay Coming Debt Maturities:

Last Thursday when we recounted the story of how Venezuela is now literally flying in paper money (using three dozen cargo Boeing 747s), we wrote that “Venezuela’s hyperinflation, already tentatively estimated at 720%, will likely add on a few (hundred) zeroes by this time next year. It is also quite likely that Venezuela the country, as we know it now, will no longer exist because once any nation is swept up in hyperinflationary rapids two things occur like clockwork: social uprisings and political coups.

But before it gets there, Venezuela’s president Maduro will be busy liquidating the nation’s roughly $12 billion in gold reserves, which his late predecessor fought hard in 2011 to repatriate back to Caracas. Sadly that gold was never meant to stay in Venezuela after all.

And sure enough, just a day later, Reuters writes that Venezuela’s central bank has begun negotiations with the suddenly troubled Deutsche Bank to carry out gold swaps “to improve the liquidity of its foreign reserves as it faces heavy debt payments this year”, payments which it won’t be able to fund unless it manages to “liquify” its gold. Continue reading »

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Feb 06

22 Signs That The Global Economic Turmoil We Have Seen So Far In 2016 Is Just The Beginning:

As bad as the month of January was for the global economy, the truth is that the rest of 2016 promises to be much worse.  Layoffs are increasing at a pace that we haven’t seen since the last recession, major retailers are shutting down hundreds of locations, corporate profit margins are plunging, global trade is slowing down dramatically, and several major European banks are in the process of completely imploding.  I am about to share some numbers with you that are truly eye-popping.  Each one by itself would be reason for concern, but when you put all of the pieces together it creates a picture that is hard to deny. 

The global economy is in crisis, and this is going to have very serious implications for the financial markets moving forward.  U.S. stocks just had their worst January in seven years, and if I am right much worse is still yet to come this year.

The following are 22 signs that the global economic turmoil that we have seen so far in 2016 is just the beginning… Continue reading »

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Feb 06

Here Are The Banks The Market Is Most Concerned About

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Feb 05

waroncash

The War on Cash: A Country by Country Guide:

Corbett Reporteers will be no stranger to the war on cash. I’ve made videos discussing it, conducted interviews about it, written articles examining it and dissected it on the radio.

The war has been waged through mainstream propaganda outlets, TV advertisements and even children’s games.

We’ve heard cash is dirtied by drug dealing, tarnished by terrorism, tainted by tax evasion (heaven forbid!) and just plain dirty. Not to mention sooooo outdated. Continue reading »

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Feb 05

The Swiss National Bank Doubled Its Holdings Of AAPL Stock In 2015

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Feb 04

Ever since this Rothschild puppet and Bilderberg bastard left Deutsche I’ve put it on my watchlist:

Bilderberg Josef AckermannJosef Ackermann


Is It Time To Panic About Deutsche Bank?:

Back in April 2013, we showed for the first time something few were aware of, namely that “At $72.8 Trillion, The Bank With The Biggest Derivative Exposure In The World” was not JPMorgan as some had expected, but Germany’s banking behemoth, Deutsche bank.

Some brushed it off, saying one should never look at gross derivative exposure but merely net, to which we had one simple response: net immediately becomes gross when just one counterparty in the collateral chains fails – case in point, the Lehman and AIG failures and the resulting scramble to bailout the entire world which cost trillions in taxpayer funds.

We then followed it up one year later with “The Elephant In The Room: Deutsche Bank’s $75 Trillion In Derivatives Is 20 Times Greater Than German GDP.”

Then, last June, we asked the most pointed question yet: Is Deutsche Bank The Next Lehman?only this time it wasn’t just the bank’s gargantuan balance sheet risk shown below that was dominant…

Deutsche Bank Germany Eurozone GDP

…. but the fact that it impaired assets had finally started to trickle down through to the income statement, leading to loss after loss, management exit after exit, market rigging settlement after market rigging settlement, and all culminating ten days ago with the bank’s “titanic”, and record, €7 billion loss, surpassing the bank’s troubles even during the depths of the Global Financial Crisis.

Continue reading »

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Feb 03

Iceland Forgives Entire Population’s Debt – Mainstream US Media Silent:

The video below shows coverage of how Iceland chose a very different way of stopping the crisis of 2008 from the rest of the European countries. The Iceland government made a conscious decision to hear the requests of the population, and to put politicians and bankers on the bench of the accused three years after their financial excesses sank one of the most prosperous economies in 2008. The result was the government of Iceland forgave the mortgage debts for much of its population.  Continue reading »

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Feb 03

Goldbarren

The Coming Revaluation of Gold:

The current melt-down of the world’s debt bubble is likely to continue in the course of the next months. The secular trend to expansion of credit has morphed into contraction and liquidation. It is my opinion that the new trend is now established and no action by any of the Central Banks (CB) that issue reserve currencies will do anything at all to reverse that trend.

Sandeep Jaitly thinks that the desperate reserve-issuing CBs – the US Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England and the Japanese CB – may resort to programs of QEP, by which he means “Quantitative Easing for the People”. This quantitative easing will mean putting money into the hands of the populations by rebates on taxes, invented make-work schemes or any other excuse to furnish the people with the famous “helicopter money”, to get them to spend. Continue reading »

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Feb 02

Jan 28, 2016

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Feb 01

FYI.


The End Of Plan A: The Big Reset & $8000 Gold:

Willem Middlekoop, author of The Big Reset – The War On Gold And The Financial Endgame, believes the current international monetary system has entered its last term and is up for a reset. Having predicted the collapse of the real estate market in 2006, (while Ben Bernanke didn’t), Middlekoop asks (rhetorically) -can the global credit expansion ‘experiment’ from 2002 – 2008, which Bernanke completely underestimated, be compared to the global QE ‘experiment’ from 2008 – present? – the answer is worrisome. In the following must-see interview with Grant Williams, he shares his thoughts on the future of the global monetary system and why the revaluation of Gold is inevitable

Middlekoop predicts the real estate crash in 2006… (ensure English Subtitles – Closed Captions – are enabled)

Bernanke did not… (stunning!!) Continue reading »

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Feb 01

China’s mid-tier banks are piling up exposure to the riskiest subset of borrowers at a time when economic fundamentals are deteriorating on a near daily basis. Meanwhile, this exposure is being carried on a line item that allows the banks to avoid provisioning for the losses that will almost certainly materialize in the not-so-distant future. At one bank, this one line item is larger than the entire Philippine banking system.


Meet China’s Latest $1.8 Trillion “Problem”:

Last summer we outlined how Chinese banks obscure trillions in credit risk.

The powers that be in Beijing aren’t particularly keen on allowing the banking sector to report “real” data on souring loans – especially given the fragile state of the country’s economy. In some cases, the Politburo will pressure banks to simply roll over bad debt, effectively kicking the can.

In addition, banks carry around 40% of their credit risk outside of “official loans.” Here’s what Fitch had to say last year: Continue reading »

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