Deutsche Bank “Raises The Warning Flag”: What The Most Important Chart For The Market Reveals

Deutsche Bank “Raises The Warning Flag”: What The Most Important Chart For The Market Reveals (ZeroHedge, Aug, 4, 2014):

“The risk sell-off we’ve seen in recent weeks frustrates us a little as the chart we’ve published most this year has pretty much predicted that tougher times would come around July. We’ve been paying it a lot of attention for over a year now but decided to wait until the autumn before we raised the warning flags. The chart in question (included in today’s pdf) is the one showing the Fed balance sheet and the S&P 500 (as a proxy for risk generally). As you can see, since the Fed balance sheet was used as an aggressive policy tool post-GFC, the graph suggests that the S&P 500 is well correlated with the size of the Fed balance sheet…  This is important as virtually all of the mega rally in the last 5 years has come in the Fed balance sheet expansion periods.” – Deutsche Bank

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