ROFL: Climate Change Scientists Warn of 4C Global Temperature Rise

BS we can take a bath in!

Team of experts say such an increase would cause severe droughts and see millions of migrants seeking refuge

Monday 29 November 2010Nomadic pastoralists Turkana tribesmen herd goats and sheep to a almost dry dam on the outskirts of Gakong, in northwestern Kenya on 13 December 2009. Photograph: Stephen Morrison/EPA

A hellish vision of a world warmed by 4C within a lifetime has been set out by an international team of scientists, who say the agonisingly slow progress of the global climate change talks that restart in Mexico today makes the so-called safe limit of 2C impossible to keep. A 4C rise in the planet’s temperature would see severe droughts across the world and millions of migrants seeking refuge as their food supplies collapse.

“There is now little to no chance of maintaining the rise in global surface temperature at below 2C, despite repeated high-level statements to the contrary,” said Kevin Anderson, from the University of Manchester, who with colleague Alice Bows contributed research to a special collection of Royal Society journal papers published tomorrow. “Moreover, the impacts associated with 2C have been revised upwards so that 2C now represents the threshold [of] extremely dangerous climate change.”

The new analysis by Anderson and Bows takes account of the non-binding pledges made by countries in the Copenhagen Accord, the compromise document that emerged from the last major UN climate summit, and the slight dip in greenhouse gas emissions caused by the economic recession. The scientists’ modelling is based on actual tonnes of emissions, not percentage reductions, and separates the predicted emissions of rich and fast-industrialising nations such as China. “2010 represents a political tipping point,” said Anderson, but added in the report: “This paper is not intended as a message of futility, but rather a bare and perhaps brutal assessment of where our ‘rose-tinted’ and well-intentioned approach to climate change has brought us. Real hope and opportunity, if it is to arise at all, will do so from a raw and dispassionate assessment of the scale of the challenge faced by the global community.”

A rise of 4C could be seen as soon as 2060 in a worst case scenario, according to research in the same journal, led by the Met Office’s Richard Betts and first revealed in the Guardian last year. Betts accepts the scenario is extreme but argues it is also plausible given the rapidly rising trend in emissions.

Rachel Warren, at the University of East Anglia, described a 4C world in her research paper: “Drought and desertification would be widespread … There would be a need to shift agricultural cropping to new areas, impinging on [wild] ecosystems. Large-scale adaptation to sea-level rise would be necessary. Human and natural systems would be subject to increasing levels of agricultural pests and diseases, and increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.”

Warren added: “This world would also rapidly be losing its ecosystem services, owing to large losses in biodiversity, forests, coastal wetlands, mangroves and saltmarshes [and] an acidified and potentially dysfunctional marine ecosystem. In such a 4C world, the limits for human adaptation are likely to be exceeded in many parts of the world.”

Another Met Office study analyses how a 4C rise would differ from a 2C rise, concluding that threats to water supplies are far worse, in particular in southern Europe and north Africa, where regional temperatures would rise 6-8C. The 4C world would also see enhanced warming over most of the US, Canada and northern Asia.

In sub-Saharan Africa, “the prognosis for agriculture and food security in a 4C world is bleak”, according Philip Thornton, of Kenya’s International Livestock Research Institute, who led another research team. He notes there will be an extra billion people populating the continent by 2050.

“Croppers and livestock keepers in sub-Saharan Africa have in the past shown themselves to be highly adaptable to short- and long-term variations in climate. But the kind of changes that would occur in a 4C+ world would be way beyond anything experienced in recent times. It is not difficult to envisage a situation where the adaptive capacity and resilience of hundreds of millions of people could simply be overwhelmed by events,” Thornton’s team concludes.

Another team tackled another complex question: what would happen to humid tropical forests in a 4C world? There was the risk of forest die-off in the Amazon, central America and parts of Africa, but some regions, eg around the Congo basin, would have the potential for forest expansion. The scientist noted, however, that in practice deforestation might be the most important factor.

The speed – as well as the size – of the temperature rise is crucial too, warned scientists from Oxford University, as faster rates of global warming could outpace the ability of human civilisation and the natural world to adapt. “Dangerous climate change depends on how fast the planet is warming up, not just how hot it gets,” said Myles Allen of Oxford University’s department of Pphysics. “It’s not just how much we emit, but how fast we do so.”

Damian Carrington
Monday 29 November 2010

Source: The Guardian

Related information:

Global warming is a scam. Even IF there would be global warming, then CO2 would have nothing to do with it, because CO2 lags 800 years behind rising temperatures! That is a a scientific fact and if you watch ‘An Inconvenient Truth’, then you will see exactly that in Al Gore’s graph. (You know, that fake hockey stick graph.)

Global warming is a scam:

Warmists Plot Secretly to Kill off The Medieval Warming Period Again (Telegraph)

Professor Harold Lewis: ‘Global Warming Is The Greatest And Most Successful Pseudoscientific Fraud I Have Seen In My Long Life’ (Telegraph)

Kiwigate: Global Warming Scam Revealed in Court (Suite 101)

Dr Rajendra Pachauri’s charity accounts ‘ANOMALIES’ (Telegraph)

Global Cooling and the New World Order (Telegraph):

“The 58th Bilderberg Meeting will be held in Sitges, Spain 3 – 6 June 2010. The Conference will deal mainly with Financial Reform, Security, Cyber Technology, Energy, Pakistan, Afghanistan, World Food Problem, Global Cooling, Social Networking, Medical Science, EU-US relations.”

Yep, that’s right. Global Cooling.

‘Climate change sceptics have smaller members, uglier wives, dumber kids’ says new study made up by warmists

Leading Scientist Warns of Ice Age: ‘Most of Europe Will Be Under Ice’

Met Office blocked role of leading scientist in ‘hockey stick’ climate change row

Godfrey Bloom Exposes the Global Warming Scam (European Parliament, Strasbourg, 20.01.2010)

Lord Christopher Monckton reports on Pachauri’s eye opening Copenhagen presentation

Top Scientist: Rise of Sea Levels is ‘The Greatest Lie Ever Told’

Prof. Ian Clark: ‘Rises in C02 lag 800 years behind temperature rises!’ – You will pay taxes for nothing! (!)

Climate crunch: David Bellamy on global warming fraud

Study: CO2 levels remained constant since 1850! (University of Bristol) (!)

What happened to global warming? The warmest year recorded globally was 1998 (BBC News)

Global Warming Expert Prof. Latif: Earth has not warmed for nearly a decade and that we are likely entering “one or even two decades during which temperatures cool.” (The Calgary Herald)

Solar Physicist Predicts Ice Age: “SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS NOW GONE CLEARLY BELOW DALTON LEVEL.” (The Examiner)

The Great Global Warming Swindle (Documentary)

Ron Paul: Global Warming Petition Signed by 31,478 Scientists (Lew Rockwell)

NASA Study: Solar Cycle, Not Man, Responsible for Gobal Warming (DailyTech)

Global warming alarmists out in cold (Herald Sun)

Nobody listens to the real climate change experts (Telegraph)

Climate ‘denial’ is now a mental disorder (Telegraph)

Japan’s boffins: Global warming isn’t man-made (The Register)

Al Gore sued by over 30.000 Scientists for fraud (Video)

World is getting colder: It’s the sun, not CO2, that’s to blame (Washington Times)

Global warning: We are actually heading towards a new Ice Age, claim scientists (Daily Mail)

Scientists find greenhouse gas hysteria to be myth (World Net Daily)

2008 was the year man-made global warming was disproved (Telegraph)

Army: Sun, Not Man, Is Causing Climate Change (Wired)

World might be heading towards Ice Age (Economic Times)

Flashback: David Ballamy: ‘BBC shunned Me For Denying Man-Made Global Warming’ (Daily Express)


Climategate: Inventor of Mann-made global warming feels the heat

Climategate: New Revelations

Climategate: Dr. Michael Mann Threatens Lawsuit Over Satirical YouTube Video

Climategate: The Parliamentary Cover-Up Exposed (Telegraph)

Climategate: Two More Bricks Fall Out Of The IPCC Wall Of Deceit – Rainforests And Polar Bears (Telegraph)

Climategate: Michael Mann’s Very Unhappy ‘Whistleblower’ New Year (Telegraph)

Climategate: Al Gore spews the usual utter nonsense but this time no one believes him (Telegraph)

Climategate: Which part of ‘over’ don’t these people understand? – A quick idiot’s guide to why Climategate does matter (Telegraph)

Climategate and the Tiger Woods Index; Al Gore cancels Copenhagen speaking event (Telegraph)

Lord Christopher Monckton – Climategate: Caught Greenhanded! Cold Facts About The Hot Topic of Global Temperature Change After The Climategate Scandal

Climategate: It’s all unravelling now! (Telegraph)

Climategate: Follow the Money (The Wall Street Journal)

Climategate scandal claims its first big political scalp (Telegraph)

Climategate: Googlegate?! (Telegraph)

Lord Cristopher Monckton on Climategate: Shut Down The UN, Arrest Al Gore

Climategate: This is the worst scientific scandal of our generation (Telegraph)

Climategate: The great climate change science scandal (The Times)

Climategate Scandal: The Whitewash Begins (Telegraph)

Climategate: Hacked emails include calls for ‘Earth Government’ as foundation of new world order, splitting of America

Lord Christopher Monckton on Climategate: ‘They Are Criminals’

Climategate: George Monbiot – aka the Great Moonbat – makes it all suddenly OK through medium of satire (Telegraph)

Climategate: Scientists Would Rather Change Facts Than Their Theories (RT)

Climategate on Lateline: Private climate documents hacked, published

Climategate Bombshell: Dr. Tim Ball on the hacked CRU emails

Climategate: The Day Science Died (TBR)

Climategate: how the MSM reported the greatest scandal in modern science (Telegraph)

Climategate: CRU director admits the emails flying all over the internet appear to be genuine (Herald Sun)

Climategate: The Final Nail in The Coffin of ‘Anthropogenic Global Warming’?! (Telegraph)

Follow the money and the New World Order:

Who Will Profit From The UN Forest Protection Scheme? Big Oil Companies And The Banksters

Agenda 21 Explained

Desperate Days For Warmists

Al Gore’s Enormous Carbon Footprint

UK: Climate Change Act has the biggest ever bill (Telegraph)

EU President Herman Van Rompuy Announces 2009 as ‘First Year of Global Governance’

Congressman Ron Paul on the Copenhagen Treaty and the Cyber Security Act: ‘They are doing everything in the world to control the internet.’

Al Gore could become world’s first carbon billionaire

Lord Christopher Monckton: Is President Obama Poised to Surrender the Constitution and US Sovereignty to World Government? (!!!)

EU Proposes €50bn Climate Change Deal Ahead of December’s Global Climate Change Conference in Copenhagen

So global warming is really about the elite finding more ways to take away your freedom and your money!


10:10 – No Pressure (Fascism We Can Take A Bath In!)

Build-A-Bear: The Sinister Green Plot to Turn Our Kids Into Eco-Fascist Manchurian Candidates

Insane British Government Global Warming Ad: Panic, Little Ones, It’s The Carbon Monster

In the news:

What the Chinese really think of ‘Man-Made Global Warming’

Bolivia’s Biggest Ecological Disaster: Cold Kills Estimated 6 Millions And Thousands of Alligators, Turtles And River Dolphins

Argentina Has Colder Winter Than Antartica, Spurring Record Energy Imports

Peru Declares State Of Emergency Amid Freezing Temperatures, Hundreds Of Children Die

Mongolia: Winter of ‘White Death’ Devastated Nomads’ Way of Life

Mongolian herders lost millions of animals because of extreme cold

Spain: Heaviest Snowfall in Decades Leaves 250,000 Without Power

Met Office: British winter was the coldest for 31 years

US ‘Snowmageddon’: Hundreds of Thousands Remain Without Power in Washington DC

Florida: Manatees die in record numbers from cold

Florida Freeze Destroys Estimated 70% of Southwest Vegetable Crop

UK: Gas supply rationed as temperature drops to -21C

Winter Chaos Around The World

Beijing and Seoul Hit by Heaviest Snow in More Than Half Century

Britain is facing one of the coldest winters in 100 years, experts predict

NCDC: 250 Snowfall Records So Far In 2009; This December Shapes Up to be the Coldest on Record

US Blizzard: Christmas Misery for Millions; Oklahoma State of Emergency (Video)

Blizzard Blasts Eastern US: Hundreds of Thousands of Homes Without Power

Snowing on Copenhagen’s Global Warmist Parade

US East Coast faces severe winter storm

US ‘Monster’ Winter Storm Resembles Wintery Hurricane With Blizzard Conditions

US: Cheyenne records snowiest October on record

Autumn record-setting snowstorm wallops Rockies, Plains

US: Freak Summer Storm Dumps Snow in Yonkers

Nature knows exactly how to deal with CO2:

Carbon Dioxide Air Fertilization Improves Plant Growth and Quality, Cuts Operating Costs While Increasing Production

If you really want to change the climate on this planet then:

Environment: Solar plant yields water and crops from the desert

Greening the Desert

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